NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	7.5 [293]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +40.7%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	1.6 [334]		LVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): -15.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.21	0.00	0.20	-0.01	11	45%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	5	100%	0.25	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Andrew Bynum	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.13	0.06	0.03	11	76%	0.20	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.00	10	50%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	20	43%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	18%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.41	0.41	0.13	0.28	-0.00	22	59%	0.41	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	16	53%	0.05	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	12	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	4	36%	-0.12	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	29.1	17.0	22.2	2.5	34.5	135.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.5%

LAL +21.1%

LAL +6.0%

DAL -4.8%

LAL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.3	111.1	105.6	106.0
season	15.7	15.2		107.9	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		104.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.7	17.6	16.3	18.1	16.9
DAL	15.6	16.7	13.7	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	1	3	17.1	16.4	0.72	14.5	16.8	-2.32
Andrew Bynum	69	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-2	9	16.6	18.0	-1.50	14.7	16.7	-2.07
Lamar Odom	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	16.7	19.0	-2.28	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Jordan Farmar	44	44	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	2	1	17.0	16.8	0.24	14.9	15.3	-0.42
Metta World Peace	57	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	-1	7	15.3	19.7	-4.46	14.8	15.6	-0.74
Luke Walton	23	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	3	-1	19.8	15.9	3.93	17.6	14.2	3.44
Sasha Vujacic	5	5	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	-1	7	14.0	17.1	-3.07	17.0	15.0	2.01
Derek Fisher	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	2	1	16.8	17.0	-0.24	15.3	14.9	0.42
Josh Powell	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	5	-5	19.0	16.7	2.28	15.1	15.1	0.05
DJ Mbenga	20	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	7	-9	18.9	16.3	2.64	16.7	14.7	2.07
Shannon Brown	30	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	13	-21	17.3	16.7	0.55	14.6	15.3	-0.77

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	4	5	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-7	9	12.0	15.2	-3.24	11.6	17.2	-5.61
Jose Juan Barea	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	18.7	13.9	4.80	19.0	16.2	2.78
Drew Gooden	36	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	0	-5	16.0	14.5	1.55	17.9	16.3	1.58
Shawn Marion	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	0	-5	15.7	13.9	1.85	17.2	16.4	0.83
Erick Dampier	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	14.5	16.0	-1.55	16.6	17.4	-0.77
Josh Howard	68	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.33	2	-7	9	14.6	16.6	-1.97	16.3	19.0	-2.76
Jason Kidd	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-3	1	13.9	18.7	-4.80	16.0	19.9	-3.92
Dirk Nowitzki	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-3	1	15.2	14.0	1.24	17.2	14.5	2.70
Jason Terry	58	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.26	-12	7	-19	15.1	15.2	-0.14	17.4	16.1	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.05,0.09,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 109, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0	93.1%
DAL 107, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.0%
ATL 80, ORL 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%