NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	109		Excitement	10.7 [37]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +22.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	4.2 [252]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -39.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.22	-0.01	0.23	-0.01	12	46%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.07
George Hill	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.09	0.02	9	80%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.08,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.11	0.00	24	56%	0.24	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	17	67%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	72%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.05
Keith Bogans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	8	31%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.39,-0.4,-0.4	-0.18	-0.23	-0.01	10	9%	-0.35	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.12	0.00	5	75%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	9	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	31	51%	0.18	7	-0.22	6	100%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.02	24	44%	0.03	3	-0.08	9	78%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	31.9	15.8	29.2	2.0	34.2	2.4	19.3	162.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +11.2%

OKC -18.3%

SAS +43.3%

SAS +11.9%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.8	14.8	15.3	107.9	108.0	106.0
season	15.9	15.0		108.2	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	14.1	14.4	16.9	20.1	25.6	16.8
OKC	15.9	12.7	15.1	15.9	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	48	46	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.75	-1	2	-3	17.6	16.0	1.65	15.8	14.1	1.73
Manu Ginobili	54	55	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.50	5	-4	9	18.3	15.0	3.25	15.1	14.5	0.58
Tony Parker	79	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	-2	5	17.3	15.1	2.16	13.9	18.5	-4.62
George Hill	78	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.53	-9	10	-19	16.4	18.1	-1.69	14.3	16.7	-2.45
Richard Jefferson	77	76	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	2	-3	16.2	18.5	-2.31	15.0	14.4	0.63
DeJuan Blair	59	61	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	-6	13	17.1	16.4	0.69	14.3	15.8	-1.51
Roger Mason Jr.	53	51	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	0	1	16.0	17.7	-1.69	16.4	13.3	3.07
Keith Bogans	57	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	1	-1	15.7	18.2	-2.52	15.0	14.7	0.33

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	42	43	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-8	15	14.8	14.9	-0.15	16.4	17.1	-0.67
Serge Ibaka	12	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	3	-7	20.7	14.0	6.70	15.4	17.0	-1.60
James Harden	62	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.46	8	-9	17	14.6	15.2	-0.58	17.7	15.4	2.21
Kevin Durant	88	90	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-2	3	14.6	16.6	-1.97	17.0	15.2	1.80
Nenad Krstic	20	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	14	-29	15.2	14.8	0.44	12.9	17.7	-4.78
Eric Maynor	25	25	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	3	-7	13.9	15.2	-1.24	15.6	17.2	-1.52
Russell Westbrook	93	93	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-7	13	15.1	11.7	3.37	17.2	12.1	5.06
Jeff Green	87	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-5	9	14.6	16.6	-2.03	17.2	14.4	2.82
Thabo Sefolosha	71	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.31	-8	7	-15	14.6	15.4	-0.75	16.8	16.9	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 143, LAL 142	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.14,0.01,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.91,0.92,0	89.3%
HOU 99, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	87.4%
MIN 95, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0	87.3%