NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	101		Excitement	6.9 [405]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +24.9%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	1.4 [940]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -16.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.01	13	57%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	18	39%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	11	41%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.03	0.06	13	66%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	12	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.10	0.03	8	50%	-0.06	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	16	36%	-0.10	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.11	-0.02	15	72%	0.28	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	18	75%	0.41	7	-0.23	4	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	19	57%	0.18	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	29%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.5	28.3	14.8	26.1	1.8	36.1	131.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +70.8%

MIL -3.0%

MIL -0.6%

MIL -18.7%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	14.0	15.3	97.1	102.9	106.0
season	15.5	14.4		103.3	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	15.0	12.7	13.4	14.0
PHX	12.8	14.4	13.5	15.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	51	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-2	0	14.4	13.6	0.77	14.4	13.6	0.78
Luc Mbah a Moute	41	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-3	2	13.6	14.2	-0.58	12.0	15.2	-3.19
Kurt Thomas	42	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-6	8	14.1	13.9	0.26	16.0	12.7	3.28
Jodie Meeks	14	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	11.0	14.4	-3.42	15.3	13.8	1.50
Charlie Bell	79	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-8	12	14.0	13.9	0.05	13.9	14.3	-0.45
Hakim Warrick	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.49	9	-13	22	14.3	13.5	0.85	15.4	11.9	3.59
Ersan Ilyasova	41	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	10	-24	13.8	14.1	-0.34	12.1	15.2	-3.08
Luke Ridnour	65	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-7	10	14.2	13.5	0.76	15.3	12.0	3.29
Andrew Bogut	54	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	8	-20	13.6	14.3	-0.69	13.0	15.2	-2.18
Brandon Jennings	72	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	1	-6	14.2	13.5	0.67	13.0	16.3	-3.31

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	79	81	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-10	24	13.6	15.5	-1.96	14.0	13.7	0.34
Grant Hill	64	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-8	20	12.7	16.2	-3.56	13.7	14.4	-0.64
Steve Nash	80	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-6	16	13.5	15.9	-2.43	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Jason Richardson	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	0	4	13.3	15.5	-2.23	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	83	85	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.13	12	-8	20	14.1	13.5	0.65	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Leandro Barbosa	32	34	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	4	-4	15.5	13.3	2.23	14.0	14.0	0.01
Earl Clark	18	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.23	-8	12	-20	13.7	14.1	-0.34	13.5	14.1	-0.53
Lou Amundson	22	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	12	-20	15.6	13.5	2.09	14.9	13.7	1.18
Jared Dudley	40	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.26	-10	14	-24	16.0	12.7	3.25	14.0	14.0	0.02
Goran Dragic	22	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	10	-16	15.9	13.5	2.43	14.6	13.8	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.65,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	91.0%
TOR 104, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.74,1	91.0%
ATL 103, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.79,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	90.9%