NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	109		Excitement	9.4 [83]		MVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): +18.9%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	3.7 [119]		LVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): -18.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.19	0.02	0.15	-0.01	9	50%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.18	0.01	0.19	0.01	10	50%	0.22	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.04
Dwyane Wade	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	25	55%	0.14	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mario Chalmers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	13	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	18	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	83%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.02	11	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.17,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.11	0.03	14	53%	0.17	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	17	49%	-0.01	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,-0.18	-0.18	0.02	-0.20	-0.00	13	50%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	28.6	15.8	26.4	2.7	43.0	144.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +36.8%

MIA +2.9%

PHX -11.7%

MIA +23.6%

PHX -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	12.5	15.3	107.9	102.9	106.0
season	16.2	14.4		104.4	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.5	14.6	15.4	16.2	15.9
PHX	10.9	12.0	13.4	13.8	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	59	59	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-11	26	15.3	16.7	-1.40	12.8	12.0	0.89
Dwyane Wade	85	85	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.26	13	-9	22	15.3	19.4	-4.10	12.1	14.5	-2.40
Rafer Alston	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-4	12	16.0	15.7	0.34	12.5	12.5	-0.07
Udonis Haslem	39	41	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	5	-6	16.4	15.6	0.71	12.6	12.4	0.27
Joel Anthony	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	-3	10	16.2	15.8	0.43	13.1	12.1	0.98
Jermaine O'Neal	66	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	7	-10	15.8	16.2	-0.43	12.1	13.1	-0.98
Michael Beasley	78	78	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	8	-12	16.4	14.3	2.15	12.8	11.3	1.49
Mario Chalmers	26	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	9	-14	16.7	15.6	1.09	13.0	12.3	0.68
Quentin Richardson	44	44	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	14	-24	16.1	15.8	0.26	11.7	13.1	-1.39

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-6	8	14.0	12.1	1.99	16.9	15.7	1.24
Robin Lopez	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-4	4	18.4	12.0	6.40	19.6	15.6	3.92
Leandro Barbosa	31	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-2	0	12.8	12.3	0.53	16.3	15.8	0.50
Channing Frye	72	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-6	8	11.8	14.0	-2.21	15.2	17.8	-2.63
Jared Dudley	39	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-2	0	13.3	12.0	1.27	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Lou Amundson	35	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	6	-16	12.3	12.6	-0.24	15.5	16.1	-0.69
Grant Hill	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-1	-2	12.3	12.7	-0.35	16.6	14.6	2.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-5	6	12.3	13.3	-0.93	16.1	14.9	1.17
Jason Richardson	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-2	0	12.3	12.8	-0.53	15.8	16.3	-0.50
Steve Nash	81	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	2	-8	12.1	14.0	-1.99	15.7	16.9	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.59,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, CLE 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	90.0%
DET 95, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.37,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.32,0.42,0	89.8%
SAS 83, DET 79	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.42,0	89.6%