NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	7.1 [381]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +15.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Comeback	1.9 [697]		LVP	Earl Watson (IND): -7.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.00	0.03	12	84%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
A.J. Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	13	56%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	19	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luther Head	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	11	60%	0.13	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	8	50%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	17	53%	0.13	4	-0.09	13	54%	-0.06
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	1.7	27.6	15.7	27.5	2.4	34.2	138.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +21.1%

MIN +10.6%

MIN +31.9%

IND -10.2%

IND -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	13.6	14.6	15.3	106.9	113.7	106.0
season	14.2	14.7		102.2	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.8	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	13.1	15.7	12.5	13.6
MIN	13.6	12.6	16.3	16.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.17	6	-13	19	14.1	13.3	0.84	15.2	14.1	1.15
Danny Granger	70	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.26	9	-16	25	12.8	15.4	-2.56	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Roy Hibbert	63	65	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-12	17	14.1	13.0	1.09	15.7	12.7	2.96
Luther Head	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-7	7	14.1	13.3	0.81	14.3	14.8	-0.45
Dahntay Jones	25	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-2	-3	15.2	13.1	2.11	16.2	14.0	2.29
Solomon Jones	23	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	1	-9	13.2	13.8	-0.61	11.3	15.4	-4.16
Mike Dunleavy	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-4	1	14.3	12.9	1.36	15.2	13.9	1.33
Troy Murphy	69	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	12.8	15.3	-2.49	13.7	16.3	-2.63
Earl Watson	57	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	10	-27	13.4	14.0	-0.59	14.2	15.1	-0.96
Brandon Rush	61	60	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.18	-16	9	-25	13.6	13.8	-0.18	14.7	14.4	0.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonny Flynn	59	57	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-12	31	13.6	15.9	-2.24	13.6	13.7	-0.04
Kevin Love	70	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-2	11	14.2	15.5	-1.33	13.4	14.1	-0.61
Corey Brewer	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-1	9	15.3	13.7	1.58	13.5	13.8	-0.29
Ryan Gomes	68	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	1	5	14.5	14.8	-0.31	13.4	14.2	-0.79
Al Jefferson	76	74	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	4	-1	15.0	13.5	1.51	13.3	14.6	-1.37
Damien Wilkins	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	6	-5	14.4	14.8	-0.39	13.7	13.6	0.16
Wayne Ellington	54	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	8	-9	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.0	13.2	0.84
Nathan Jawai	10	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	3	1	11.6	14.9	-3.31	17.1	13.2	3.86
Brian Cardinal	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	5	-3	17.3	14.4	2.92	15.2	13.6	1.61
Ramon Sessions	43	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.31	-12	19	-31	15.9	13.6	2.24	13.7	13.6	0.04
Sasha Pavlovic	16	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	11	-15	13.7	14.8	-1.07	13.3	13.7	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, CHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.5%
DAL 87, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.53,0.78,0.85,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	92.1%
BOS 91, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.94,1,1	92.0%