inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 97 Excitement11.3 [22] MVPLuke Ridnour (MIL): +27.3%
Milwaukee Bucks 103 Comeback4.1 [303] LVPBrandon Jennings (MIL): -35.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.020.00560%0.0700.00560%-0.01
Nick Collison0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.03-0.00467%0.081-0.024100%0.03
Russell Westbrook0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.06,0.04-0.020.06-0.011642%0.0400.00862%-0.06
Nenad Krstic-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.040.03-0.07-0.01669%0.042-0.081100%0.01
Eric Maynor-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.00940%0.001-0.09250%-0.02
James Harden-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.00430%-0.033-0.11250%-0.02
Jeff Green-0.180,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.07-0.110.001133%-0.151-0.032100%0.01
Kevin Durant-0.310,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.38,-0.3,-0.31-0.02-0.270.022456%0.137-0.44786%0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.270.270.040.23-0.011155%0.2700.0000%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.1,0.21,0.210.210.130.100.022357%0.2100.0010%-0.02
Andrew Bogut0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.140.140.050.09-0.001757%0.192-0.05683%-0.01
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.001233%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.0020%-0.062-0.0700%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.100.021541%-0.131-0.044100%0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.27-0.27-0.06-0.23-0.01833%-0.141-0.13250%-0.01
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36-0.36-0.12-0.25-0.011536%-0.143-0.22683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.42.529.315.426.31.832.01.619.3151.6
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC -0.8%
OKC -7.2%
MIL +21.5%
MIL +25.6%
MIL +10.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMILNBAOKCMILNBA
this game14.916.315.395.1101.0106.0
season15.015.5106.2103.3
opponent15.515.5101.8103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC14.915.315.417.19.214.9
MIL15.715.316.618.914.516.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Serge Ibaka31280.03-0.530.56-0.115-111613.815.3-1.5316.316.3-0.03
Nick Collison5757-0.03-0.470.43-0.185-111615.314.40.8917.514.82.61
Eric Maynor3534-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-81014.615.0-0.4116.816.10.74
Thabo Sefolosha5555-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-7814.615.2-0.6716.815.71.12
James Harden3434-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-71-814.715.0-0.2515.316.8-1.47
Kevin Durant9090-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.281-7814.915.0-0.1416.217.0-0.79
Nenad Krstic4545-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.17-104-1414.415.3-0.8914.817.5-2.61
Russell Westbrook8081-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.21-93-1215.313.41.8716.216.9-0.70
Jeff Green8386-0.780.28-1.06-0.25-1812-3015.313.12.2416.415.70.66

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Bogut77770.65-0.150.790.2115-92416.216.6-0.3415.213.81.37
Hakim Warrick70680.58-0.080.650.4060616.615.61.0814.515.6-1.03
Brandon Jennings68690.400.100.30-0.0415-92416.815.21.6016.012.53.44
Luc Mbah a Moute73730.370.130.240.2542216.615.61.0514.715.2-0.52
Michael Redd84840.280.220.070.2033016.415.80.6414.715.7-0.96
Luke Ridnour51490.260.240.030.38-410-1415.217.4-2.2213.815.9-2.15
Charlie Bell29300.190.31-0.130.1906-616.116.4-0.2315.514.60.84
Kurt Thomas16170.010.49-0.470.04-17-817.116.20.9714.115.0-0.91
Jodie Meeks11-0.000.50-0.50-0.0006-610.016.4-6.370.015.0-15.02
Ersan Ilyasova4142-0.240.74-0.97-0.00-814-2215.616.8-1.2415.114.70.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.67,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 89, MIL 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,190.8%
NOH 93, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.72,189.8%
DET 97, UTA 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.83,188.0%