NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	9.7 [70]		MVP	Mickael Pietrus (ORL): +18.4%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	2.4 [530]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (ORL): -15.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.2,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	15	70%	0.24	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.07
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.01	5	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.05	0.10	-0.05	0.00	16	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.07
Marcin Gortat	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	6	57%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	10	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	1	53%	0.00	5	-0.12	17	47%	-0.14
Jason Williams	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.14,-0.16	0.00	-0.16	0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	13	63%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.10	0.02	11	55%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	16	47%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	21	57%	0.21	3	-0.18	7	57%	-0.03
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.12	0.01	13	61%	0.14	3	-0.22	7	86%	-0.05
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	3.0	34.0	19.8	34.4	3.6	43.0	167.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +56.1%

ORL -32.5%

PHX +16.8%

PHX +10.1%

ORL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.3	104.0	105.0	106.0
season	15.4	14.4		110.1	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.9		109.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.3	13.3	14.7	15.2	14.6
PHX	12.4	13.9	16.0	14.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	28	29	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-8	13	15.6	14.2	1.42	14.6	14.1	0.57
Matt Barnes	33	35	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.23	9	-12	21	13.0	15.4	-2.33	14.3	14.2	0.06
Marcin Gortat	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-4	5	13.3	14.8	-1.48	11.7	14.7	-2.93
Anthony Johnson	41	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.24	4	-7	11	14.9	14.4	0.54	14.3	14.2	0.16
Jason Williams	56	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	2	-7	14.8	14.3	0.50	14.6	13.7	0.91
JJ Redick	45	45	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-7	11	14.1	15.0	-0.95	14.5	14.0	0.49
Vince Carter	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	13	-29	14.9	14.3	0.62	13.2	15.2	-1.94
Dwight Howard	84	85	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	1	-5	14.8	13.3	1.48	14.7	11.7	2.93
Rashard Lewis	78	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	3	-9	14.4	15.3	-0.95	14.4	13.6	0.76
Mickael Pietrus	66	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	4	-11	14.9	13.9	0.97	14.0	14.7	-0.67

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	84	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-3	9	14.3	14.0	0.26	14.7	13.9	0.85
Jason Richardson	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-3	9	14.4	13.9	0.50	15.1	13.1	1.99
Grant Hill	70	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-3	9	13.7	15.4	-1.73	15.3	13.1	2.16
Amar'e Stoudemire	85	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	1	1	14.0	15.2	-1.23	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Jared Dudley	70	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	6	-9	14.8	13.0	1.80	13.6	16.8	-3.23
Channing Frye	56	56	0.20	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	-6	15	13.9	14.6	-0.73	15.1	13.9	1.16
Robin Lopez	10	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	1	1	15.5	14.1	1.42	15.9	14.5	1.43
Lou Amundson	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	13.0	14.4	-1.40	13.6	14.7	-1.14
Jarron Collins	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	17.7	13.8	3.86	13.5	14.7	-1.21
Goran Dragic	34	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	9	-15	13.9	14.4	-0.55	13.4	15.2	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.71,0.63,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	91.9%
WAS 96, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	91.1%
DET 109, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.58,1	90.5%