NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	8.9 [152]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +40.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	91		Comeback	2.0 [585]		LVP	Rasual Butler (WAS): -26.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	7	67%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.08
Drew Gooden	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	8	31%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.02	-0.11	0.06	-0.04	14	33%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.07
Nene	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Otto Porter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	15	41%	-0.08	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.15	0.01	11	37%	-0.13	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.35,0.25,0.41	0.41	0.18	0.27	0.04	20	70%	0.46	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	8	65%	0.08	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	10	21%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.7	30.0	20.4	24.3	2.7	30.5	132.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +57.0%

WAS -8.4%

MIL +10.6%

WAS -10.2%

MIL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	15.1	91.4	93.8	104.2
season	15.1	14.5		102.9	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	14.1	14.4	19.0	15.7
MIL	14.4	13.1	16.2	15.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	30	30	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.07	2	-8	10	16.2	15.4	0.82	15.2	14.4	0.73
Drew Gooden	39	39	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-12	18	17.9	14.1	3.78	14.9	14.5	0.48
Kevin Seraphin	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-8	10	14.6	15.9	-1.26	14.8	14.6	0.20
Otto Porter	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.20	-8	2	-10	16.9	15.3	1.55	16.3	14.2	2.09
Martell Webster	6	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-3	0	11.0	16.0	-5.00	8.0	15.1	-7.10
Garrett Temple	40	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.40	8	-14	22	14.8	16.4	-1.58	15.2	14.3	0.94
Rasual Butler	69	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-2	-2	16.0	14.7	1.31	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Nene	55	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	0	-6	15.8	15.4	0.39	16.0	12.8	3.21
Marcin Gortat	68	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	0	-6	15.1	17.2	-2.08	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Paul Pierce	48	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	2	-10	15.5	15.9	-0.45	13.6	15.9	-2.24
John Wall	71	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.31	-13	7	-20	15.3	17.0	-1.79	14.4	15.6	-1.16

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	51	47	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.21	16	-10	26	14.8	14.5	0.30	16.3	15.0	1.30
Khris Middleton	75	71	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-5	16	14.3	15.8	-1.44	15.9	14.9	1.07
Michael Carter-Williams	59	55	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-7	20	14.4	15.1	-0.78	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-2	10	15.0	13.7	1.32	15.8	15.3	0.50
Ersan Ilyasova	46	45	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	1	4	15.6	13.8	1.85	16.4	15.0	1.36
Jerryd Bayless	41	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	10	-14	14.2	15.0	-0.85	16.7	14.9	1.79
Chris Johnson	43	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	7	-8	14.3	14.9	-0.56	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Jared Dudley	50	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	14	-22	14.8	14.5	0.33	15.1	16.3	-1.17
John Henson	46	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.11	-10	16	-26	14.5	14.8	-0.30	15.0	16.3	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	92.2%
ORL 103, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.71,0.63,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.58,1	91.9%
WAS 96, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	91.8%