NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	4.6 [868]		MVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): +16.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	76.5 [21]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -22.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.03	-0.02	18	72%	0.15	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	10	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.09	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.1	-0.03	-0.10	-0.03	14	47%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	8	23%	-0.07	3	-0.15	6	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.10	0.05	18	66%	0.23	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.15	0.05	15	51%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	8	87%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	16	41%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.03	0.01	10	36%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	1.8	34.1	15.4	27.6	2.7	37.4	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +8.0%

LAC +16.9%

LAC +12.6%

MEM -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	17.4	14.1	15.3	96.7	106.5	106.0
season	15.4	15.5		106.8	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.0		108.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.4	16.7	19.7	18.2	17.4
LAC	13.4	17.6	14.0	11.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	28	29	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.07	4	-14	18	16.3	17.9	-1.65	13.1	14.5	-1.40
Hasheem Thabeet	25	24	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.08	3	-13	16	16.3	17.8	-1.53	14.1	14.1	0.02
Mike Conley	38	39	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.26	-7	-3	-4	16.2	18.3	-2.14	13.6	14.4	-0.78
Marc Gasol	81	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-5	0	17.4	17.5	-0.08	14.0	14.9	-0.94
O.J. Mayo	78	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	2	-14	17.6	16.2	1.40	14.7	10.5	4.20
Jamaal Tinsley	54	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	-5	0	18.1	16.4	1.68	14.2	13.8	0.38
Rudy Gay	77	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	2	-14	17.4	17.4	0.00	13.8	15.2	-1.43
Zach Randolph	74	76	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	6	-22	18.2	14.2	4.00	14.3	13.0	1.29

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	52	53	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-3	16	13.2	15.1	-1.87	17.6	17.2	0.33
Al Thornton	75	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-5	20	14.1	14.0	0.08	17.4	17.4	0.09
Baron Davis	78	75	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-3	16	14.0	14.4	-0.34	17.3	18.2	-0.92
Marcus Camby	71	69	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	2	6	13.7	15.2	-1.52	16.8	19.4	-2.55
Eric Gordon	81	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	1	8	14.0	14.6	-0.65	17.7	15.9	1.74
Steve Novak	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	10	-10	0.0	14.1	-14.07	1.0	17.6	-16.61
Sebastian Telfair	17	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.17	2	8	-6	13.9	14.1	-0.15	17.6	17.4	0.19
DeAndre Jordan	28	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	14	-18	16.7	12.9	3.81	16.8	17.7	-0.87
Craig Smith	31	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.20	1	9	-8	14.1	14.0	0.10	19.9	16.1	3.77
Rasual Butler	27	27	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.08	-7	17	-24	14.1	14.0	0.12	16.7	17.7	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.43,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 110, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.43,0.59,1	90.7%
MIA 96, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.43,0.72,1	90.4%
LAL 105, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.72,1	90.3%