inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 93 Excitement5.4 [722] MVPJ.R. Smith (DEN): +20.1%
Denver Nuggets 112 Comeback3.9 [711] LVPArron Afflalo (DEN): -15.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joakim Noah0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.02-0.05671%0.113-0.082100%0.01
Luol Deng0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011952%0.062-0.054100%0.03
Taj Gibson0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00656%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Derrick Rose0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.032060%0.195-0.18786%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03357%0.0000.0010%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.04367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.03-0.061041%0.023-0.06250%-0.01
Brad Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00325%-0.031-0.022100%0.02
John Salmons-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.04-0.021121%-0.101-0.03250%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.080.11-0.011756%0.2000.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.020.00981%0.182-0.048100%0.04
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.050.02490%0.1100.00250%-0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03564%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.020.042555%0.083-0.115100%0.03
Nene0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02653%0.022-0.05757%-0.02
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00944%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.14-0.03-0.0260%-0.102-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.835.316.027.22.725.5135.5
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +31.9%
CHI -3.2%
DEN +5.7%
DEN +12.8%
DEN +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDENNBACHIDENNBA
this game15.813.415.393.9114.3106.0
season14.714.4101.9110.3
opponent15.515.7106.4103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.516.215.517.215.8
DEN14.313.813.312.313.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taj Gibson79780.01-0.510.520.13-4-151116.014.91.1413.612.70.90
Lindsey Hunter560.00-0.500.50-0.124-232713.815.9-2.1113.213.4-0.27
Jannero Pargo1717-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-191915.815.80.0214.113.30.77
James Johnson1213-0.02-0.480.460.07-3-161316.115.80.3111.713.7-1.99
John Salmons5653-0.19-0.310.120.34-18-1-1717.313.83.4813.613.20.44
Brad Miller4848-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.04-12-7-515.016.6-1.6113.613.30.32
Luol Deng7877-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.16-10-9-115.018.7-3.6313.413.5-0.13
Derrick Rose7776-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-16-3-1315.815.70.1613.313.8-0.46
Joakim Noah6767-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.01-16-3-1316.115.20.8212.914.5-1.51
Kirk Hinrich5655-0.500.00-0.510.08-201-2115.516.2-0.7113.812.90.91

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson45430.55-0.050.59-0.1925-63112.913.8-0.9016.715.11.61
Chris Andersen53530.480.020.460.011631313.813.00.8115.116.6-1.50
J.R. Smith62640.470.030.45-0.2023-42713.513.20.3115.815.9-0.08
Carmelo Anthony82850.410.090.33-0.1720-12113.513.00.5016.014.51.52
Kenyon Martin67690.360.140.230.13811-313.413.4-0.0015.217.1-1.85
Nene62640.160.34-0.18-0.341721513.213.8-0.5717.113.43.77
Joey Graham970.050.45-0.400.02118-1711.713.6-1.9315.915.80.05
Arron Afflalo39380.030.47-0.450.14-423-2713.313.5-0.1815.915.70.18
Malik Allen650.000.50-0.500.12-423-2713.213.4-0.2713.815.9-2.11
Renaldo Balkman320.000.50-0.500.12-423-2712.013.5-1.469.515.9-6.44
Chauncey Billups6265-0.010.51-0.530.07-322-2513.912.71.1915.117.2-2.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 98, GSW 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.8%
SEA 97, DEN 1050.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,193.7%
ATL 100, BKN 1160.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.7%