NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	3.7 [1052]		MVP	John Salmons (CHI): +9.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.1 [1205]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -12.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	13	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	4	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	27%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	0.08	20	48%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	0.03	12	44%	-0.04	4	-0.09	3	0%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	5	120%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	69%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	15	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	42%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	13	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.01	21	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.3	29.8	20.6	29.4	3.0	28.3	138.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +21.3%

LAL +6.5%

LAL +12.1%

LAL +7.0%

LAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	15.3	95.9	109.1	106.0
season	14.7	15.7		101.9	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	13.6	16.8	12.2	14.1
LAL	14.6	14.6	15.2	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	9.0	14.7	-5.71	16.6	15.1	1.50
James Johnson	21	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-18	21	13.2	14.4	-1.19	14.9	15.4	-0.44
Jannero Pargo	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-17	19	11.5	14.6	-3.06	14.4	15.4	-1.05
Taj Gibson	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-10	5	13.7	14.4	-0.68	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Brad Miller	58	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	14.9	13.0	1.92	15.3	15.2	0.01
John Salmons	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	14.0	14.3	-0.23	15.7	14.5	1.22
Kirk Hinrich	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	5	-25	15.1	13.0	2.10	14.8	15.8	-1.02
Derrick Rose	78	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	0	-15	14.3	13.3	1.00	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Luol Deng	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.06	-17	2	-19	14.7	12.3	2.44	14.8	16.7	-1.82
Joakim Noah	79	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-4	-7	13.8	15.4	-1.55	15.9	12.7	3.14

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-4	23	15.1	15.6	-0.47	14.6	13.1	1.48
Lamar Odom	53	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-5	25	14.4	16.2	-1.76	14.9	13.2	1.72
Kobe Bryant	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-2	19	15.1	15.6	-0.49	14.6	12.6	1.98
Derek Fisher	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	1	13	15.0	15.5	-0.47	14.4	13.8	0.55
Pau Gasol	74	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	4	7	15.1	15.7	-0.63	14.6	13.1	1.48
Andrew Bynum	48	49	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	6	3	15.8	14.8	1.01	14.6	13.7	0.90
Shannon Brown	34	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	9	-3	15.2	15.3	-0.12	15.3	13.5	1.77
Jordan Farmar	42	39	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	16	-17	15.4	15.2	0.22	13.8	14.3	-0.46
Josh Powell	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	16.5	15.1	1.48	10.9	14.6	-3.70
Sasha Vujacic	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	16.6	15.1	1.50	9.0	14.7	-5.71
DJ Mbenga	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	16.6	15.1	1.50	9.0	14.7	-5.71
Adam Morrison	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	16.6	15.1	1.50	9.0	14.7	-5.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIA 84, CLE 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CLE 85, ORL 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%