NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	3.8 [1033]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +15.9%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	1.1 [1263]		LVP	Darius Miles (CLE): -15.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.05	10	68%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	72%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	61%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.21	-0.01	-0.10	15	34%	-0.05	6	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Darius Miles	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-0.06	8	40%	-0.02	7	-0.13	4	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.02	0.04	21	71%	0.19	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.04
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.04	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	71%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jeryl Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	15	45%	-0.04	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	15%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	27.4	15.7	29.0	2.0	29.2	130.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +3.2%

ORL +7.3%

ORL +12.1%

ORL +25.5%

ORL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	15.5	85.0	110.1	101.6
season	15.1	14.6		94.6	102.7
opponent	15.8	14.9		103.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	15.7	13.9	14.9	14.8
ORL	14.5	13.1	12.8	16.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-23	22	7.9	15.3	-7.47	12.1	14.3	-2.15
DeSagana Diop	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-14	4	15.3	14.5	0.83	15.4	13.4	1.99
Jumaine Jones	40	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.20	-13	-11	-2	14.5	15.0	-0.50	14.7	13.7	0.99
Smush Parker	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-17	10	15.0	14.7	0.28	15.9	13.4	2.48
Chris Mihm	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-14	4	15.6	14.2	1.45	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Darius Miles	66	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.17	-14	-10	-4	15.0	14.5	0.45	14.0	14.3	-0.27
Carlos Boozer	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.13	-14	-10	-4	14.2	15.6	-1.45	14.5	13.7	0.78
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-10	-4	14.5	15.3	-0.83	13.4	15.4	-1.99
Milt Palacio	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	-9	-6	15.8	12.7	3.08	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Ricky Davis	89	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.20	-22	-2	-20	14.6	16.7	-2.17	13.8	17.0	-3.18

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.09	14	10	4	13.0	15.4	-2.35	15.6	14.0	1.65
Shawn Kemp	48	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	11	2	12.8	15.4	-2.66	15.5	14.2	1.34
Tracy McGrady	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	11	2	13.8	14.7	-0.93	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Chris Whitney	45	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	8	8	14.2	14.1	0.03	14.7	14.9	-0.23
Pat Garrity	56	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	12	0	13.1	15.5	-2.46	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Darrell Armstrong	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	7	10	14.7	13.3	1.40	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Steven Hunter	43	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.16	12	12	0	15.5	13.1	2.46	15.3	14.4	0.84
Andrew DeClercq	44	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	16	-8	16.0	12.7	3.26	15.4	14.3	1.05
Jeryl Sasser	48	49	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	14	-4	15.4	13.0	2.35	14.0	15.6	-1.65
Jacque Vaughn	32	32	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	20	-16	13.7	14.3	-0.62	15.2	14.6	0.57
Olumide Oyedeji	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	12.1	14.3	-2.15	7.9	15.3	-7.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.1%
IND 87, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
VAN 78, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%