inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 94 Excitement10.2 [51] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +69.7%
Dallas Mavericks 99 Comeback2.9 [430] LVPRichard Jefferson (SAS): -25.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.050.19-0.00567%0.2300.002100%0.05
Tim Duncan0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.15,0.08,0.08-0.060.150.012242%0.122-0.04875%0.07
Michael Finley0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.00771%0.142-0.0700%0.00
Matt Bonner0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.010.00692%0.112-0.0500%0.00
George Hill0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04-0.000.050.011544%0.061-0.02450%-0.03
Malik Hairston-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00067%0.031-0.03367%-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.03-0.01843%0.052-0.065100%0.04
DeJuan Blair-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.260,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.06-0.20-0.001154%-0.015-0.242100%0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.61,0.69,0.70.700.200.520.022959%0.7000.001283%0.04
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.080.210.011361%0.311-0.03250%-0.01
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00950%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00850%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Quinton Ross0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00518%-0.0600.0010%-0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00617%-0.101-0.0300%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.08-0.00731%-0.121-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.09-0.031931%-0.1500.004100%0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.83.734.518.827.83.039.42.012.7167.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS -5.4%
SAS -10.2%
DAL +19.6%
DAL +49.3%
SAS -3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game16.316.315.395.9102.1106.0
season15.915.2108.2107.2
opponent15.515.1104.6103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS16.419.616.515.312.016.3
DAL15.515.615.518.316.816.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeJuan Blair13120.05-0.550.590.050-5514.716.6-1.9114.016.6-2.59
Manu Ginobili1414-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-1-317.916.11.7615.116.5-1.40
Malik Hairston119-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-5514.916.5-1.6220.815.84.97
Roger Mason Jr.4342-0.18-0.320.13-0.07-4-1-316.816.00.7916.516.10.33
Matt Bonner4647-0.19-0.310.13-0.211-6715.716.9-1.1917.215.41.75
Richard Jefferson7775-0.20-0.300.09-0.231-6716.217.0-0.7716.515.51.05
Michael Finley6063-0.21-0.290.09-0.210-5516.715.71.0416.116.6-0.49
Tim Duncan7576-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.361-6716.814.91.9316.316.10.22
Keith Bogans2623-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.13-72-914.217.1-2.8814.216.9-2.75
George Hill6465-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.35-1-4316.416.20.1716.416.00.45
Antonio McDyess6159-0.530.03-0.57-0.18-127-1916.915.51.3815.916.8-0.81

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Juan Barea55580.75-0.251.000.3414-92316.915.51.4415.817.1-1.27
Kris Humphries33360.70-0.200.900.2615-102516.716.10.6015.416.9-1.51
Jason Terry73750.500.000.490.326-1716.615.31.2415.917.7-1.82
Dirk Nowitzki83840.350.150.200.2341315.918.4-2.4416.416.10.32
Tim Thomas24230.110.39-0.280.0523-117.615.81.7515.616.6-0.96
Jason Kidd7371-0.030.53-0.560.00-16-716.216.6-0.4217.114.32.88
Drew Gooden6665-0.060.56-0.620.09-510-1516.216.5-0.3617.214.62.58
Rodrigue Beaubois3231-0.140.64-0.770.04-611-1715.216.8-1.6117.116.01.05
Quinton Ross3636-0.190.69-0.870.08-914-2315.516.7-1.2217.016.00.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.55,0.57,0.81,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.68,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 101, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.72,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.99,188.9%
LAC 92, HOU 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.59,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.94,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.57,0.92,188.4%
DET 96, VAN 1040.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.89,0.98,1,188.3%