NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	5.6 [685]		MVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): +11.5%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	2.2 [159]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -7.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	9	59%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	15	49%	0.17	3	-0.08	7	71%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	21	50%	0.07	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Al Horford	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	9	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	10	61%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	69%	0.11	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	16	56%	0.10	2	-0.08	11	73%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.0	31.2	19.5	28.6	3.6	37.0	149.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +10.9%

BOS -1.4%

ATL +18.8%

ATL +14.1%

ATL +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	17.0	15.6	15.3	110.2	96.6	106.0
season	16.0	15.5		109.4	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.8		102.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.2	14.0	15.6	20.4	17.0
BOS	16.9	16.6	15.1	13.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	75	75	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.07	23	-12	35	17.4	14.6	2.74	15.1	18.1	-3.02
Al Horford	63	62	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-6	23	17.0	17.0	-0.01	14.7	17.6	-2.92
Josh Smith	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-6	23	16.3	19.1	-2.81	14.7	18.2	-3.44
Jamal Crawford	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	5	1	17.0	16.8	0.20	15.8	15.4	0.40
Mike Bibby	69	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-1	13	16.9	17.3	-0.39	14.3	20.8	-6.50
Maurice Evans	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.21	-5	16	-21	15.1	17.5	-2.36	18.7	14.7	3.99
Marvin Williams	41	42	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	6	-1	17.7	16.3	1.41	15.3	15.9	-0.54
Jason Collins	2	1	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	11	-11	23.5	16.8	6.70	18.0	15.6	2.43
Joe Smith	22	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	17	-23	18.3	16.5	1.82	18.0	14.8	3.18
Zaza Pachulia	24	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	17	-23	18.1	16.5	1.61	18.4	14.4	3.99
Jeff Teague	8	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	19	-27	10.6	17.6	-6.96	22.4	14.9	7.45

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-9	7	8.0	15.8	-7.77	22.0	16.9	5.10
Lester Hudson	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-9	7	8.0	15.8	-7.77	22.0	16.9	5.10
J.R. Giddens	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-9	7	8.0	15.8	-7.77	22.0	16.9	5.10
Shelden Williams	22	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-13	15	16.7	15.2	1.44	13.3	18.2	-4.85
Eddie House	28	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-12	13	16.2	15.3	0.85	13.7	18.4	-4.74
Rasheed Wallace	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-14	17	15.7	15.5	0.19	16.0	17.7	-1.66
Marquis Daniels	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-14	17	16.3	15.1	1.14	16.6	17.1	-0.50
Kevin Garnett	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	15.4	16.0	-0.60	18.4	14.0	4.41
Ray Allen	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	15.7	15.2	0.43	16.0	22.3	-6.28
Rajon Rondo	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	1	-13	15.3	16.2	-0.85	18.4	13.7	4.74
Paul Pierce	64	65	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	0	-11	15.4	16.1	-0.73	18.0	13.9	4.12
Kendrick Perkins	53	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	7	-25	15.8	15.2	0.63	17.4	16.2	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.26,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
WAS 100, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0	93.6%
UTA 99, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0	93.5%