NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	6.8 [440]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +15.6%
New York Knicks	93		Comeback	1.1 [839]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -37.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.00	15	56%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	14	72%	0.23	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.15	-0.04	0.02	16	72%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.04	13	40%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Eric Maynor	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	-0.38	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.27,-0.38,-0.38	-0.23	-0.20	-0.06	10	23%	-0.15	7	-0.23	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.25,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.01	14	75%	0.20	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.00	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	15	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.10
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	14	37%	-0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	12	37%	-0.13	2	-0.10	8	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	26.0	15.5	23.9	1.6	33.5	124.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.6%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +28.2%

NYK -18.5%

UTA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	12.8	15.3	97.9	94.9	106.0
season	15.3	14.7		109.5	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	14.7	19.2	17.7	16.8
NYK	11.9	13.5	13.0	12.9	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	84	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	16.2	20.0	-3.75	13.1	10.9	2.19
Mehmet Okur	66	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-6	14	17.2	15.9	1.25	12.4	13.8	-1.42
Carlos Boozer	80	80	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	1	0	16.4	18.5	-2.15	13.0	12.0	0.99
Deron Williams	84	84	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	3	-4	16.7	16.9	-0.20	12.4	15.4	-2.98
Ronnie Brewer	73	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	7	-12	17.0	15.9	1.11	12.3	14.3	-2.03
Wesley Matthews	37	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	-2	6	17.4	16.4	0.97	13.1	12.6	0.49
Ronnie Price	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	-2	6	16.2	16.8	-0.64	15.5	12.5	2.98
Paul Millsap	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	7	-12	16.8	16.7	0.16	13.1	12.5	0.63
Eric Maynor	2	3	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	3	-4	21.0	16.7	4.34	15.0	12.7	2.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	61	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-11	20	12.9	12.7	0.21	17.9	14.9	2.97
Danilo Gallinari	52	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-5	8	12.8	12.8	-0.04	15.9	17.7	-1.75
Toney Douglas	46	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-7	12	13.1	12.5	0.61	17.5	16.1	1.38
Larry Hughes	86	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.51	8	-10	18	12.6	14.3	-1.74	16.7	16.8	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	69	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-1	0	12.8	12.8	-0.03	16.9	16.4	0.49
Al Harrington	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-2	2	12.7	12.9	-0.14	17.0	16.4	0.67
Chris Duhon	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	13	-28	12.9	12.7	0.15	16.1	17.8	-1.70
David Lee	62	64	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.10	-19	17	-36	12.8	12.8	0.00	16.0	18.2	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.23,0.08,0	93.3%
BOS 115, PHX 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.06,0.15,0.02,0	93.3%
IND 88, WAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.05,0	93.1%