NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	6.1 [560]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +16.8%
Washington Wizards	84		Comeback	1.0 [722]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): -20.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.04	0.10	-0.02	8	65%	0.17	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jonathan Bender	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.02	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	7	50%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,-0.04,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.07	-0.01	19	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	9	45%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	10	59%	-0.00	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	85%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	13	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	0.05	-0.11	0.05	21	56%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	9	20%	-0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.21	-0.23	-0.03	-0.05	16	18%	-0.16	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	23.2	15.8	21.2	2.5	37.2	127.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +58.8%

WAS -4.3%

IND +0.1%

WAS -5.1%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.5	95.7	93.3	101.6
season	15.4	16.5		102.2	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	17.9	17.6	14.0	15.7
WAS	16.7	18.1	15.9	13.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-3	10	15.4	16.5	-1.10	15.9	16.1	-0.26
Reggie Miller	56	55	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-8	20	14.2	18.0	-3.81	16.0	15.9	0.14
Jamaal Tinsley	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	-1	6	15.0	17.7	-2.71	15.6	17.0	-1.44
Brad Miller	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	-1	6	15.5	16.0	-0.45	16.4	15.3	1.06
Metta World Peace	52	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	0	4	14.5	17.3	-2.86	15.5	16.7	-1.20
Ron Mercer	48	45	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	4	-4	16.4	15.0	1.35	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Jeff Foster	33	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	4	-4	16.3	15.4	0.88	16.2	15.8	0.33
Austin Croshere	23	21	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	5	-6	17.7	15.0	2.71	17.0	15.6	1.44
Jonathan Bender	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.10	-3	7	-10	17.7	15.0	2.71	16.4	15.8	0.55
Al Harrington	31	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	13	-22	18.3	14.4	3.90	15.7	16.0	-0.33

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	12	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-6	8	15.4	16.0	-0.61	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Etan Thomas	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.38	10	-14	24	14.8	16.7	-1.90	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Charles Oakley	12	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	1	-6	18.1	15.6	2.47	13.2	16.1	-2.88
Juan Dixon	46	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.48	12	-16	28	15.0	17.0	-1.98	15.9	15.5	0.44
Jared Jeffries	46	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-11	18	14.9	17.0	-2.15	15.5	16.0	-0.46
Bryon Russell	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	5	-14	17.4	15.0	2.43	18.1	14.2	3.95
Kwame Brown	27	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	8	-20	18.0	15.0	2.99	18.6	14.6	3.97
Brendan Haywood	44	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	7	-18	17.0	14.9	2.15	16.0	15.5	0.46
Tyronn Lue	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	4	-12	15.8	16.1	-0.32	15.4	16.1	-0.78
Michael Jordan	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	15.8	16.3	-0.47	14.4	19.1	-4.69
Jerry Stackhouse	74	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.25	-8	4	-12	15.6	17.6	-2.04	15.3	17.6	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.15,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.08,0	93.7%
POR 96, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	93.7%
MIA 110, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.23,0.08,0	93.7%