NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	119		Excitement	7.8 [249]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +38.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	7.2 [212]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -20.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.19	0.20	-0.00	7	100%	0.38	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07
Jason Richardson	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.36	0.28	0.09	0.02	16	88%	0.36	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	14	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	0.02	0.03	9	81%	0.18	7	-0.17	8	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	13	38%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.11	-0.00	13	65%	0.24	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	17	71%	0.25	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	89%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.00	3	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	0.01	10	58%	-0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.13	0.04	16	38%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	29.3	16.4	24.5	2.5	33.4	134.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +64.6%

PHI -10.5%

PHI -3.0%

PHI -2.5%

PHX +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.3	125.3	121.1	106.0
season	14.4	15.1		113.5	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		108.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	13.2	15.0	15.1	14.4
PHI	16.0	15.1	16.3	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	72	71	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.40	19	-15	34	13.6	17.0	-3.33	16.9	12.9	4.03
Jason Richardson	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.37	11	-7	18	14.3	14.9	-0.66	16.5	13.7	2.85
Leandro Barbosa	42	43	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.45	2	2	0	14.7	14.2	0.51	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Jared Dudley	44	45	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.51	-3	7	-10	14.8	14.1	0.72	14.1	17.5	-3.37
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	79	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	-1	6	14.6	13.6	0.97	15.9	15.9	0.01
Channing Frye	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	-3	10	13.8	15.5	-1.71	17.1	13.8	3.30
Grant Hill	62	61	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	3	-2	13.8	15.7	-1.94	16.6	14.6	1.97
Jarron Collins	4	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	5	-6	15.0	14.4	0.59	11.3	16.0	-4.70
Lou Amundson	16	17	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	13	-22	18.2	13.7	4.52	12.8	16.6	-3.73
Goran Dragic	21	22	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	16	-28	16.5	13.8	2.69	13.1	16.7	-3.64

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	32	32	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.05	11	-15	26	13.7	17.0	-3.27	14.8	14.3	0.53
Jason Smith	34	32	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.04	9	-13	22	13.2	17.4	-4.22	16.0	13.7	2.32
Jason Kapono	11	10	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-6	8	16.4	15.8	0.54	18.2	14.0	4.21
Willie Green	35	33	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-10	16	14.4	16.7	-2.30	16.2	13.5	2.64
Samuel Dalembert	35	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-2	0	16.9	15.3	1.63	14.5	14.4	0.05
Elton Brand	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	17.3	14.8	2.48	14.1	14.7	-0.65
Rodney Carney	22	22	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-7	10	13.9	16.5	-2.63	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Marreese Speights	60	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-2	0	15.3	16.9	-1.63	14.4	14.5	-0.05
Lou Williams	63	66	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.38	-13	9	-22	17.0	13.6	3.41	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Thaddeus Young	71	72	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.37	-14	10	-24	16.2	15.0	1.13	13.4	17.7	-4.36
Andre Iguodala	71	71	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.39	-16	12	-28	17.3	11.7	5.64	14.1	15.4	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.86,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	91.7%
DAL 98, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.43,0,0	91.6%
SAS 96, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.31,0.46,0.15,0.08,0	91.3%