NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	90		Excitement	7.7 [259]		MVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): +24.1%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	4.8 [327]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -17.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	7	86%	0.20	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	68%	0.16	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Stephen Graham	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	65%	0.14	6	-0.15	3	33%	-0.07
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	13	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	12	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	12	29%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	17	37%	-0.16	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.11	0.01	12	78%	0.27	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	16	66%	0.26	3	-0.07	9	78%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	17	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	41%	0.00	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.08	7	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	29.2	15.8	24.0	1.8	37.0	137.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +54.3%

CHI +1.3%

CHI +17.2%

CHA -14.3%

CHA -8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	18.2	13.6	15.3	97.8	105.7	106.0
season	16.2	14.7		103.0	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.2	21.1	16.6	18.8	18.2
CHI	12.6	16.8	12.2	13.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	7	8	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.05	7	-10	17	24.3	17.8	6.53	18.7	13.1	5.61
Stephen Graham	4	4	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-5	7	17.2	18.3	-1.05	8.2	13.9	-5.65
Nazr Mohammed	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	14.7	18.5	-3.83	16.2	13.5	2.70
Raymond Felton	68	66	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.35	13	-16	29	18.7	17.0	1.69	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Raja Bell	64	62	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-10	17	18.3	18.2	0.05	13.7	13.5	0.21
Gerald Wallace	86	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-6	9	18.2	19.7	-1.52	13.7	13.6	0.05
Boris Diaw	79	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-4	5	17.7	21.5	-3.74	13.6	13.9	-0.33
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	8	-19	19.1	17.6	1.52	15.0	12.8	2.25
Ronald Murray	28	26	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	7	-17	18.2	18.3	-0.05	13.5	13.7	-0.21
D.J. Augustin	24	22	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	13	-29	17.0	18.7	-1.69	13.9	13.6	0.29
Tyson Chandler	55	54	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.43	-13	10	-23	18.2	18.3	-0.03	12.2	15.9	-3.74

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	87	90	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.51	6	-3	9	13.6	22.0	-8.45	18.2	19.0	-0.77
John Salmons	80	85	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-7	17	13.1	18.7	-5.61	17.8	24.3	-6.53
Joakim Noah	72	75	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.50	2	1	1	13.7	13.4	0.26	19.3	13.5	5.79
Kirk Hinrich	58	62	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	0	3	14.1	12.9	1.19	18.3	18.2	0.07
Brad Miller	36	38	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	-6	15	13.4	13.8	-0.49	16.5	19.5	-2.94
Derrick Rose	55	57	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	9	-15	13.2	14.4	-1.15	18.5	17.8	0.73
Taj Gibson	39	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	3	-3	13.2	14.0	-0.75	16.7	19.4	-2.74
Jannero Pargo	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	5	-7	20.2	13.2	7.00	23.5	17.9	5.62
James Johnson	7	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	10	-17	18.4	13.2	5.19	24.3	17.8	6.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.7,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.97,0.99,1	92.5%
BOS 102, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.0%
PHI 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.6%