NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	81		Excitement	6.9 [423]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (CHI): +18.2%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	19.7 [170]		LVP	John Salmons (CHI): -19.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.05	0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	9	42%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	14	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	23	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	15	34%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	-0.01	3	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.02	5	100%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.11	-0.01	16	56%	0.22	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	12	57%	0.17	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.15
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.10
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.03	15	23%	-0.12	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	27.5	15.6	26.8	1.8	37.2	136.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +57.1%

CHI +2.0%

CHI +4.5%

MIL -13.7%

CHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	13.5	15.3	85.3	88.3	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		103.3	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	18.8	14.8	20.2	16.9
CHI	14.8	14.0	12.9	12.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	24	23	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-5	8	17.2	16.8	0.34	15.6	12.9	2.74
Charlie Bell	71	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.33	11	-13	24	15.7	20.4	-4.63	13.2	14.6	-1.44
Jodie Meeks	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	0	-2	12.2	17.2	-4.98	18.8	13.2	5.55
Carlos Delfino	63	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.33	6	-8	14	15.9	18.8	-2.91	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Luke Ridnour	19	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	8	-18	14.2	17.6	-3.45	15.1	13.1	1.98
Brandon Jennings	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.54	10	-12	22	17.8	13.7	4.01	13.1	15.1	-1.98
Hakim Warrick	67	67	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.45	7	-9	16	17.0	16.7	0.29	13.0	14.9	-1.94
Andrew Bogut	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-3	4	17.2	15.9	1.28	13.2	15.0	-1.83
Luc Mbah a Moute	49	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	8	-18	19.4	14.3	5.11	14.4	12.7	1.77
Ersan Ilyasova	16	16	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	9	-20	13.5	17.6	-4.11	13.7	13.5	0.25
Roko Leni Ukic	10	11	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	13	-28	22.9	16.2	6.69	13.0	13.6	-0.61

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	26	28	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-16	34	14.0	13.4	0.69	18.1	16.4	1.74
Luol Deng	84	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-2	6	13.3	15.9	-2.64	16.7	18.7	-1.99
Derrick Rose	58	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.63	-6	8	-14	13.3	14.0	-0.74	17.5	16.1	1.47
John Salmons	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.54	-4	6	-10	13.3	15.5	-2.24	17.4	14.0	3.38
Brad Miller	55	60	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.23	19	-17	36	14.4	12.3	2.11	16.4	17.9	-1.49
Kirk Hinrich	63	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	-5	12	13.9	12.9	0.95	16.3	18.3	-2.02
Joakim Noah	59	56	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.66	-22	24	-46	13.4	13.7	-0.27	17.1	16.6	0.55
Taj Gibson	43	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	8	-14	13.3	13.8	-0.49	16.3	17.4	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	91.8%
CLE 90, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.71,0.91,0.75,0.63,0.94,0.98,1	91.5%
DET 98, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	91.4%