NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	5.3 [769]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHI): +20.9%
Chicago Bulls	106		Comeback	17.9 [240]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -15.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Peyton Siva	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	17	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	9	44%	-0.05
Brandon Jennings	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	17	47%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Singler	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	4	37%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	9	32%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.11	0.01	14	63%	0.26	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.10	0.04	10	74%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.05	8	86%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	13	46%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	27%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	26.1	15.5	25.4	2.7	32.0	125.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +20.8%

CHI +23.3%

CHI +9.2%

DET -6.8%

CHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.1	105.4	114.0	105.2
season	15.0	16.3		104.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.0		99.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.2	15.5	16.3	16.3	15.0
CHI	15.9	16.5	15.0	16.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	82	83	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-9	10	14.6	18.5	-3.89	15.9	16.1	-0.17
Brandon Jennings	67	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-6	4	13.9	18.0	-4.08	15.7	16.6	-0.84
Kyle Singler	83	85	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-6	4	14.7	17.9	-3.23	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Rodney Stuckey	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	14.7	15.7	-1.02	16.3	15.3	0.97
Greg Monroe	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	14.7	16.0	-1.34	16.2	15.0	1.20
Peyton Siva	32	30	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	17.6	13.7	3.87	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	36	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	1	-10	16.3	14.2	2.05	16.0	15.9	0.09
Jonas Jerebko	33	33	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	3	-14	16.8	14.0	2.83	15.4	16.3	-0.90

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	77	77	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-10	28	16.1	15.3	0.77	15.0	14.9	0.10
D.J. Augustin	53	52	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.32	12	-4	16	16.2	15.6	0.52	15.7	14.1	1.57
Taj Gibson	52	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	0	8	15.8	16.1	-0.31	15.7	14.1	1.57
Mike Dunleavy	73	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	0	8	15.9	16.2	-0.39	15.0	15.0	0.03
Jimmy Butler	86	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	3	2	16.2	13.1	3.03	14.8	17.6	-2.76
Tony Snell	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	8	-8	15.4	16.0	-0.61	15.6	14.9	0.73
Kirk Hinrich	53	55	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	9	-10	15.6	16.4	-0.80	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Nazr Mohammed	8	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	15	-22	18.5	15.7	2.79	15.2	15.0	0.22
Carlos Boozer	49	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	11	-14	15.5	16.5	-1.01	14.2	15.9	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%
MIL 81, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.98,1	91.4%
DET 87, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.96,0.96,0.94,1,1	91.4%