NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	7.0 [464]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (IND): +50.6%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	10.4 [144]		LVP	JR Smith (CLE): -11.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	13	68%	0.14	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.01	0.04	0.04	22	56%	0.20	6	-0.20	6	67%	-0.04
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.03	6	72%	0.05	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12	-0.02	-0.12	-0.03	11	36%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.51,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.26	0.27	0.02	15	91%	0.55	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	15	47%	0.02	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.4	25.3	15.4	29.8	2.8	39.3	144.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +11.0%

IND +20.3%

IND +16.5%

CLE -0.5%

IND +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	14.7	101.1	100.0	107.5
season	14.8	14.8		111.2	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.7	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.0	19.4	17.2	18.0	16.7
IND	16.3	17.6	11.8	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	46	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	1	-4	17.0	16.4	0.54	14.1	16.3	-2.23
Larry Nance Jr.	32	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	0	-2	16.7	16.7	0.05	15.9	14.7	1.29
Jordan Clarkson	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-6	10	15.6	17.5	-1.92	17.2	13.8	3.44
Kyle Korver	38	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	4	-10	16.6	16.8	-0.15	14.5	15.6	-1.03
JR Smith	65	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-9	16	16.2	18.2	-2.04	14.5	16.9	-2.38
Jeff Green	28	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	2	-6	18.3	16.0	2.34	16.2	14.6	1.57
Kevin Love	68	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	17.0	15.8	1.25	15.4	14.2	1.16
LeBron James	79	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.50	-1	-1	0	16.6	17.9	-1.33	14.5	20.5	-6.02
Rodney Hood	52	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.51	-3	1	-4	17.0	16.3	0.68	15.4	14.7	0.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bojan Bogdanovic	68	68	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.44	18	-16	34	14.8	16.1	-1.29	17.0	15.8	1.25
Thaddeus Young	66	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	1	0	14.6	16.4	-1.80	16.8	16.5	0.26
Myles Turner	59	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-9	20	14.2	16.8	-2.68	16.7	16.7	0.03
Victor Oladipo	78	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	3	-4	14.6	17.9	-3.22	16.2	18.9	-2.70
Darren Collison	60	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.30	-1	3	-4	14.7	15.8	-1.09	16.1	17.7	-1.55
Cory Joseph	34	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	4	-6	15.7	14.8	0.91	17.4	16.3	1.03
Domantas Sabonis	45	42	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	6	-10	15.8	14.5	1.35	17.6	15.9	1.66
Trevor Booker	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	3	-4	21.0	14.5	6.51	15.4	16.9	-1.42
Lance Stephenson	41	41	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.07	-11	13	-24	16.9	13.7	3.11	16.6	16.8	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.71,0.91,0.75,0.63,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, NOH 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.95,0.96,1	91.5%
MIL 81, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.98,1	91.5%
ORL 93, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.94,0.84,1	91.2%