NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	95		Excitement	4.8 [846]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (ORL): +13.2%
New Jersey Nets	85		Comeback	1.1 [1214]		LVP	Matt Barnes (ORL): -17.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	10	73%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.00	0.03	8	89%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	10	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	61%	0.10	4	-0.08	11	36%	-0.06
Jameer Nelson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	6	7%	-0.10	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	17	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	18	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	26.5	15.7	26.5	2.0	31.3	133.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.2%

NJN -1.3%

ORL +11.7%

NJN -10.4%

ORL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NJN	NBA	ORL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.3	103.3	93.4	106.0
season	15.4	15.9		110.1	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		108.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	14.7	15.7	18.4	15.9
NJN	17.2	16.6	15.0	13.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	73	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.12	16	-6	22	15.3	18.3	-3.04	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Mickael Pietrus	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	2	6	16.5	15.1	1.34	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Ryan Anderson	45	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-3	16	14.3	17.4	-3.11	15.8	15.3	0.51
Jameer Nelson	41	42	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	5	0	16.5	15.5	1.01	14.8	16.2	-1.46
Matt Barnes	46	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	15.2	16.6	-1.37	16.2	15.0	1.20
Vince Carter	30	28	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	1	8	14.8	16.4	-1.64	16.2	15.3	0.88
Jason Williams	52	49	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	5	0	15.5	16.4	-0.88	16.2	14.8	1.46
Brandon Bass	47	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	13	-16	17.4	14.3	3.11	15.3	15.8	-0.51
JJ Redick	54	54	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	13	-16	16.5	15.1	1.40	15.4	15.8	-0.45
Marcin Gortat	19	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	16	-22	18.3	15.3	3.04	16.7	15.3	1.37

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-16	22	16.2	15.2	0.94	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Eduardo Najera	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-3	-4	17.1	15.1	2.06	15.2	16.1	-0.95
Brook Lopez	48	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-5	0	15.2	16.0	-0.86	15.8	16.0	-0.27
Courtney Lee	76	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-7	4	15.5	16.0	-0.51	16.6	12.6	3.99
Josh Boone	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-5	0	16.0	15.2	0.86	16.0	15.8	0.14
Yi Jianlian	63	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-7	4	14.9	17.1	-2.22	16.1	15.5	0.60
Terrence Williams	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	16.3	15.1	1.19	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Chris Douglas-Roberts	68	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	1	-12	15.5	15.7	-0.22	15.5	17.3	-1.86
Devin Harris	66	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	5	-20	15.2	16.6	-1.47	16.0	15.6	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 103, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MEM 95, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	94.5%
CLE 120, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%