NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	95		Excitement	4.4 [950]		MVP	Ed Davis (MEM): +9.8%
New York Knicks	87		Comeback	1.4 [512]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -8.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.03	0.04	13	66%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	18	54%	0.15	5	-0.09	10	70%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	73%	0.04	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Franklin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.16	0.01	-0.07	18	24%	-0.07	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.03	0.06	22	59%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.04	13	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toure Murry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	32.6	16.5	28.5	2.6	38.2	143.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +18.5%

MEM +18.8%

MEM +28.3%

NYK -14.3%

NYK -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	15.3	15.1	104.4	96.7	105.2
season	16.4	16.0		104.5	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		107.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.1	16.6	16.0	16.4	16.5
NYK	14.8	15.4	16.7	14.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	72	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	17.0	14.9	2.08	15.7	14.0	1.67
Ed Davis	46	46	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-1	10	16.9	16.2	0.71	15.8	14.7	1.12
Tony Allen	65	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	2	4	16.6	16.4	0.22	15.7	14.2	1.44
Mike Conley	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	5	-2	16.2	17.5	-1.35	15.3	15.2	0.11
James Johnson	54	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	7	-6	16.4	16.7	-0.32	16.3	13.6	2.70
Jamaal Franklin	34	34	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	0	8	16.3	16.7	-0.34	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Jerryd Bayless	28	27	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	-1	10	15.9	16.8	-0.88	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Mike Miller	28	26	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	9	-10	17.4	16.2	1.23	13.4	16.0	-2.61
Kosta Koufos	30	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	8	-8	15.7	17.0	-1.30	15.1	15.4	-0.24
Jon Leuer	34	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	12	-16	15.9	16.9	-1.00	13.8	16.1	-2.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toure Murry	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-7	6	15.9	15.1	0.83	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Andrea Bargnani	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-12	16	15.6	15.0	0.52	17.4	15.8	1.55
Tim Hardaway Jr.	59	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-9	10	14.7	16.4	-1.74	15.6	18.5	-2.88
Amar'e Stoudemire	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-4	0	14.6	15.7	-1.06	17.0	16.3	0.77
Iman Shumpert	32	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	4	-16	16.0	14.9	1.07	19.0	15.3	3.73
J.R. Smith	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-9	10	14.9	16.9	-2.08	15.9	19.2	-3.32
Carmelo Anthony	79	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-6	4	15.3	15.2	0.11	16.0	20.2	-4.14
Beno Udrih	57	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	8	-24	15.4	15.0	0.39	16.0	17.5	-1.48
Tyson Chandler	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	3	-14	15.8	14.2	1.62	17.4	14.9	2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 131, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CLE 120, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
ORL 105, BKN 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%