inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 96 Excitement2.5 [1243] MVPAntonio McDyess (SAS): +6.5%
San Antonio Spurs 113 Comeback1.6 [1094] LVPBobby Brown (NOH): -6.0%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.08-0.000.051672%0.075-0.04450%-0.00
Emeka Okafor0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.090.000.071458%0.0200.00367%0.00
Darius Songaila0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
James Posey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02280%-0.011-0.001100%0.00
David West-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.010.071260%0.001-0.02667%-0.01
Morris Peterson-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.04650%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Julian Wright-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01944%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Hilton Armstrong-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01420%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Bobby Brown-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.030.000.031237%-0.0600.0000%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.00582%0.071-0.001100%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.011067%0.072-0.0010%-0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.04683%0.0500.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.02961%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.000.06974%0.072-0.045100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.021155%0.032-0.00757%-0.01
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.03764%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01850%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.001150%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.04728%-0.031-0.01475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.93.632.019.830.73.029.0142.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +36.8%
SAS +4.9%
SAS +6.7%
SAS +1.8%
NOH -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHSASNBANOHSASNBA
this game15.215.815.3102.1122.8106.0
season15.515.9106.0108.2
opponent15.115.2103.4108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH16.316.914.213.715.2
SAS15.715.115.217.015.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Brown660.00-0.500.50-0.031-181910.215.5-5.3819.015.53.45
Darren Collison660.00-0.500.50-0.031-181910.215.5-5.3819.015.53.45
Morris Peterson3130-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-161516.714.42.3015.815.70.09
Emeka Okafor5554-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-161515.414.90.5616.315.11.18
Julian Wright5454-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-141115.315.10.1816.215.21.00
Darius Songaila1415-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-8-116.315.01.2716.915.51.39
Chris Paul6767-0.23-0.270.04-0.08-5-12715.115.6-0.5015.516.6-1.14
David West7471-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-9-8-115.513.91.5915.815.70.07
James Posey3837-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-16-1-1514.815.4-0.6015.416.0-0.61
Peja Stojakovic4038-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-3-1115.115.3-0.1815.216.2-1.00
Bobby Brown4644-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-13-4-915.115.3-0.1815.216.3-1.09
Hilton Armstrong3938-0.38-0.12-0.270.08-16-1-1514.915.4-0.5615.116.3-1.18

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio McDyess36360.370.130.240.08107314.916.3-1.4515.714.90.89
Roger Mason Jr.43450.360.140.22-0.02134915.715.8-0.1014.515.9-1.37
Manu Ginobili46480.350.150.20-0.151701714.217.4-3.2415.015.4-0.46
George Hill41420.340.160.180.05107316.115.50.6814.515.7-1.18
DeJuan Blair42450.320.180.13-0.01116516.615.11.4714.415.9-1.50
Richard Jefferson45450.270.230.05-0.08125715.715.9-0.1617.113.43.66
Matt Bonner54540.160.34-0.17-0.04710-315.915.60.2415.914.31.61
Tony Parker51520.160.34-0.18-0.05710-315.516.1-0.6815.714.51.18
Tim Duncan44440.140.36-0.23-0.04611-515.416.1-0.7815.714.80.90
Michael Finley40400.020.48-0.460.05-118-1917.014.82.2215.215.20.08
Keith Bogans11120.010.49-0.480.16-522-2717.315.61.7010.415.9-5.49
Theo Ratliff770.000.50-0.500.06-219-2119.315.53.8010.915.6-4.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 84, CLE 1150.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
LAC 81, SAC 1030.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
UTA 87, POR 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%