inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 79 Excitement7.7 [292] MVPMarvin Williams (ATL): +18.4%
Atlanta Hawks 81 Comeback2.4 [892] LVPChris Quinn (MIA): -51.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0.180,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.120.06-0.001075%0.1800.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.050.011568%0.204-0.114100%0.03
Jamaal Magloire0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.03-0.00475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.020.00150%0.001-0.04425%-0.04
Yakhouba Diawara-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11-0.05-0.06-0.00650%-0.023-0.09250%-0.03
Daequan Cook-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.08-0.011229%-0.111-0.0400%0.00
Mark Blount-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.02,-0.07,-0.170.01-0.140.04560%-0.101-0.0700%0.00
James Jones-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.18-0.01-0.170.001045%-0.141-0.042100%0.01
Chris Quinn-0.510,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.4,-0.51-0.24-0.27-0.0090%-0.344-0.1720%-0.03

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.120.070.004108%0.211-0.024100%0.04
Othello Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.040.00662%0.131-0.0610%-0.03
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00473%0.091-0.03367%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01764%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02550%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Randolph Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01337%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Al Horford0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00850%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.13,-0.08-0.08-0.100.020.012035%-0.061-0.02875%0.01
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.04-0.00340%0.013-0.12450%-0.02
Thomas Gardner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.00719%-0.111-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.527.216.724.22.634.6135.2
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +52.7%
ATL +13.2%
MIA -39.1%
ATL +22.6%
ATL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game17.516.015.591.994.2106.4
season16.015.8105.9106.7
opponent16.115.7106.0105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.016.817.718.717.5
ATL16.515.117.414.916.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Beasley42420.15-0.650.80-0.057-91617.317.7-0.4217.015.01.98
Mario Chalmers34340.05-0.550.60-0.043-5817.117.8-0.7217.215.22.00
Jamaal Magloire36370.03-0.530.560.001-3417.917.20.6817.115.12.01
Daequan Cook5961-0.08-0.420.33-0.142-4617.318.0-0.6917.412.45.08
Mark Blount1313-0.24-0.260.02-0.333-5817.817.50.3811.816.7-4.94
Yakhouba Diawara5554-0.28-0.22-0.050.08-1210-2217.817.10.7216.215.50.74
James Jones4544-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.493-5817.417.7-0.2614.817.2-2.35
Joel Anthony5049-0.530.03-0.56-0.44-31-417.217.9-0.6815.117.1-2.01
Chris Quinn5252-0.550.05-0.60-0.40-53-817.817.10.7215.217.2-2.00
Dorell Wright4444-0.650.15-0.80-0.39-97-1617.717.30.4215.017.0-1.98

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Othello Hunter41400.84-0.341.170.4314-122615.016.8-1.7518.716.52.15
Ronald Murray63630.61-0.110.720.465-3815.816.3-0.5218.115.92.20
Thomas Gardner39400.52-0.020.540.298-61414.517.1-2.6117.817.30.47
Solomon Jones53520.51-0.010.530.4811016.215.70.4817.717.20.48
Speedy Claxton12110.270.230.040.106-41016.315.90.4319.017.31.69
Mario West72720.170.33-0.170.34-68-1415.916.3-0.3817.119.9-2.87
Marvin Williams27290.160.34-0.180.1020215.816.1-0.2717.617.50.04
Randolph Morris1516-0.050.55-0.610.00-24-615.316.1-0.7718.217.40.89
Joe Johnson2626-0.080.58-0.67-0.03-24-617.315.41.8716.318.0-1.69
Josh Smith2424-0.130.63-0.770.01-57-1216.115.90.1616.018.1-2.06
Al Horford3333-0.140.64-0.78-0.02-46-1017.515.02.5217.617.50.18
Mike Bibby2524-0.170.67-0.830.04-79-1616.715.71.0616.018.1-2.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.77,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 79, MIL 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.89,0.98,192.8%
MEM 90, PHX 960.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.98,192.7%
POR 110, MIL 1130.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.58,191.9%