NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	8.8 [144]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +31.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	3.7 [401]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -21.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.11	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	14	64%	0.14	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.10
Arron Afflalo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.11	2	-0.14	6	83%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	17	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	9	22%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	7	44%	-0.06	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-0.01	12	31%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.16	0.03	19	70%	0.39	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	62%	0.16	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.04
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	17	48%	0.12	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.07
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	35.0	18.0	28.1	2.8	44.2	154.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +66.8%

PHI +19.3%

DET -20.8%

DET -14.9%

DET -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	18.2	14.7	15.5	103.4	108.0	106.4
season	16.9	15.5		104.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.7		105.5	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.3	14.5	21.1	21.8	18.2
PHI	15.0	15.5	16.8	11.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	48	49	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.16	-3	-2	-1	18.1	18.4	-0.30	15.4	13.9	1.56
Walter Herrmann	19	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-10	15	15.2	19.0	-3.89	14.2	14.9	-0.66
Richard Hamilton	72	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-4	3	18.7	15.6	3.14	14.5	15.6	-1.13
Rodney Stuckey	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	18.2	18.2	0.02	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Jason Maxiell	23	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	19.3	17.8	1.57	15.5	14.4	1.10
Will Bynum	31	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	17.2	18.8	-1.61	14.8	14.7	0.12
Antonio McDyess	52	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	0	-5	18.9	17.1	1.86	15.4	13.9	1.49
Tayshaun Prince	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	4	-13	18.7	16.2	2.51	14.4	16.1	-1.73
Rasheed Wallace	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-6	7	17.7	18.8	-1.09	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Arron Afflalo	13	16	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	4	-13	16.7	18.5	-1.77	16.1	14.4	1.69

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	82	81	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-7	19	14.5	18.3	-3.86	18.5	14.2	4.33
Willie Green	44	42	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.31	9	-4	13	14.2	15.3	-1.07	16.9	19.4	-2.45
Reggie Evans	45	46	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-5	15	13.9	15.7	-1.78	17.5	19.0	-1.52
Andre Iguodala	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	2	1	14.7	15.0	-0.29	18.9	9.6	9.38
Samuel Dalembert	18	19	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	-5	15	14.9	14.7	0.19	19.1	18.0	1.10
Donyell Marshall	14	14	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	-3	11	13.8	14.9	-1.13	14.7	18.9	-4.15
Lou Williams	50	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	2	1	15.7	13.5	2.13	18.7	17.6	1.14
Theo Ratliff	56	54	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.48	-15	20	-35	14.9	14.4	0.52	18.8	17.2	1.58
Marreese Speights	42	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	10	-15	15.9	13.7	2.19	19.4	17.2	2.23
Royal Ivey	9	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	15	-25	13.9	14.8	-0.95	11.1	19.1	-8.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.63,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.98,1	90.8%
DET 79, ATL 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.38,0.63,0.47,0.85,1	90.6%
SAC 96, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.92,1	90.6%