NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	8.5 [170]		MVP	Rodney Carney (MIN): +61.5%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	5.6 [20]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -11.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.62	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.62,0.62	0.18	0.46	0.02	13	83%	0.66	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.13,0.13,0.27	0.02	0.23	-0.01	11	61%	0.35	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	75%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.01	9	82%	0.19	6	-0.25	4	100%	0.05
Ryan Gomes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.09,-0.07	-0.02	-0.10	-0.04	20	54%	0.10	5	-0.17	6	50%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.06	0.03	20	71%	0.30	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.08
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.00	11	70%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.03	7	81%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.13	-0.00	9	50%	0.19	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.07
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	27%	-0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.7	26.1	14.8	24.0	1.8	37.2	135.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +64.6%

UTA -1.8%

MIN +28.9%

UTA -43.3%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.5	108.4	107.4	106.4
season	15.8	15.3		104.3	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.4	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	16.4	15.0	16.5	15.7
UTA	14.6	14.2	15.7	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	59	60	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.55	14	-13	27	14.0	18.4	-4.40	15.3	13.4	1.95
Ryan Gomes	75	75	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.47	10	-9	19	15.9	15.0	0.87	14.9	13.6	1.31
Mike Miller	78	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-6	13	15.6	15.9	-0.31	14.7	14.4	0.30
Rodney Carney	66	67	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.50	2	-1	3	15.7	15.7	-0.01	14.9	14.0	0.95
Kevin Love	53	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	-15	31	14.6	17.0	-2.36	15.4	13.7	1.73
Brian Cardinal	38	40	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.52	-12	13	-25	17.0	14.8	2.15	13.8	15.2	-1.39
Bobby Brown	6	6	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.10	-10	11	-21	17.8	15.5	2.29	12.8	14.8	-1.92
Shelden Williams	47	45	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	14	-27	16.4	15.0	1.43	13.7	15.5	-1.75
Sebastian Telfair	53	52	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.14	-9	10	-19	16.6	14.5	2.08	13.8	15.6	-1.82

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	58	58	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.04	5	-6	11	14.8	14.4	0.37	14.8	17.1	-2.24
CJ Miles	25	25	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	1	-3	15.3	14.4	0.93	12.9	16.7	-3.75
Brevin Knight	16	16	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	0	-1	16.1	14.3	1.80	17.1	15.4	1.73
Matt Harpring	18	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	2	-5	14.9	14.6	0.32	16.0	15.6	0.39
Mehmet Okur	52	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.05	-3	2	-5	15.6	13.5	2.05	14.5	17.1	-2.62
Paul Millsap	53	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-11	21	13.9	15.5	-1.60	17.1	13.8	3.26
Deron Williams	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-1	1	14.3	16.1	-1.80	15.4	17.1	-1.73
Andrei Kirilenko	51	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.54	3	-4	7	13.4	16.0	-2.59	17.1	14.1	2.97
Kyle Korver	63	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.60	0	-1	1	14.6	14.7	-0.13	16.9	13.2	3.67
Carlos Boozer	60	59	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.34	-14	13	-27	15.0	14.0	1.05	14.9	17.0	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.72,0.45,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 78, GSW 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.52,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	92.1%
NOH 106, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.34,0.17,0	91.0%
OKC 111, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	90.5%