NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	6.7 [470]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +19.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	5.1 [526]		LVP	Richard Jefferson (MIL): -16.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Bell	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	13	52%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	12	58%	0.16	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Malik Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Joe Alexander	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	16	46%	-0.02	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.07	0.03	10	75%	0.22	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.01	9	70%	0.17	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	4	40%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	6	68%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	14	48%	0.12	3	-0.10	14	71%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	0.02	11	69%	0.14	8	-0.21	4	100%	0.04
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	4	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	40.1	0.3	34.8	2.6	29.6	138.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +13.9%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +29.2%

MIL -9.6%

PHI +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.5	102.2	112.9	106.4
season	15.0	15.5		104.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		105.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.9	16.2	17.3	16.1	15.8
PHI	14.9	14.4	14.0	17.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	34	32	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.06	14	-24	38	16.4	15.5	0.87	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Keith Bogans	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-9	8	13.4	16.0	-2.59	12.9	15.3	-2.47
Joe Alexander	23	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-14	18	14.3	16.3	-2.08	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Dan Gadzuric	48	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-9	8	16.3	15.3	0.96	16.1	14.0	2.16
Luke Ridnour	27	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-8	6	17.7	15.0	2.70	15.3	15.1	0.21
Luc Mbah a Moute	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-6	2	16.1	15.0	1.15	15.0	15.6	-0.66
Richard Jefferson	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.07	-13	3	-16	16.7	14.1	2.60	15.6	14.3	1.32
Charlie Bell	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	8	-26	15.3	17.5	-2.25	14.5	17.1	-2.59
Ramon Sessions	75	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	2	-14	15.6	16.6	-0.97	15.3	14.7	0.59
Charlie Villanueva	51	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	7	-24	14.6	17.3	-2.66	15.2	15.1	0.09

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	31	31	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.13	22	-12	34	13.9	15.8	-1.85	16.5	15.5	0.94
Andre Miller	75	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-9	28	15.3	14.6	0.72	15.9	15.4	0.58
Andre Iguodala	85	85	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-3	16	14.8	18.2	-3.40	15.5	18.9	-3.33
Lou Williams	59	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	3	4	14.1	17.0	-2.93	16.4	14.8	1.66
Marreese Speights	50	49	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	9	-8	15.5	14.8	0.69	16.5	15.1	1.40
Samuel Dalembert	37	38	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	3	4	15.2	15.1	0.08	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Willie Green	33	33	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	9	-8	15.6	14.9	0.72	15.2	16.2	-0.95
Reggie Evans	52	51	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	8	-6	15.3	14.9	0.47	15.0	16.9	-1.88
Royal Ivey	28	28	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.18	-11	21	-32	16.9	14.4	2.56	16.1	15.7	0.45
Theo Ratliff	15	16	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	21	-32	16.6	14.9	1.74	15.4	15.9	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.54,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.66,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.84,1	92.3%
MIN 82, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.98,1,1,1,1	91.9%
NOP 98, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	91.8%