NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	7.2 [371]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +26.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	5.9 [303]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -17.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	12	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	9	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	17	44%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	13	38%	-0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.15	-0.01	13	69%	0.35	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.06
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	11	70%	0.17	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	15	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	12	48%	0.05	7	-0.18	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	30.4	15.4	23.3	1.8	34.5	129.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +51.3%

POR +19.6%

POR +16.9%

PHX -38.9%

POR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.4	100.0	102.1	104.1
season	15.2	15.8		99.7	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.6	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	15.8	16.1	15.8	15.7
POR	13.8	14.8	15.9	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Beasley	20	22	0.42	-0.92	1.33	-0.02	15	-18	33	15.1	15.8	-0.64	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Sebastian Telfair	28	29	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-9	15	16.2	15.4	0.85	14.9	15.3	-0.41
PJ Tucker	27	28	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-10	17	16.2	15.4	0.80	15.0	15.2	-0.26
Jermaine O'Neal	32	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-3	3	17.1	14.9	2.19	15.0	15.2	-0.23
Luis Scola	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	4	-11	15.2	16.0	-0.75	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Markieff Morris	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-7	11	16.0	15.2	0.75	15.4	14.8	0.56
Marcin Gortat	61	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	0	-3	14.9	17.1	-2.19	15.2	15.0	0.23
Goran Dragic	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	6	-15	15.4	16.2	-0.85	15.3	14.9	0.41
Shannon Brown	71	69	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	11	-25	15.5	16.0	-0.51	15.2	15.0	0.26
Jared Dudley	68	69	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.38	-14	11	-25	15.7	15.5	0.19	15.2	14.9	0.31

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	39	41	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.43	10	-7	17	14.6	15.5	-0.91	16.0	15.4	0.66
Damian Lillard	74	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.39	7	-4	11	15.3	14.4	0.89	15.8	15.2	0.61
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	0	3	15.6	13.5	2.09	15.8	15.3	0.49
Nicolas Batum	83	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-5	13	15.2	14.9	0.27	15.5	17.4	-1.98
JJ Hickson	74	74	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	2	-1	15.1	15.4	-0.32	15.3	17.0	-1.69
Ronnie Price	26	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	4	-5	14.0	15.6	-1.54	16.8	15.3	1.50
Wesley Matthews	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	13.8	15.5	-1.71	15.7	15.6	0.06
Luke Babbitt	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	3	-3	14.2	15.6	-1.46	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Victor Claver	29	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	2	-1	15.9	14.8	1.03	15.8	15.6	0.22
Meyers Leonard	13	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	9	-15	16.3	15.0	1.34	16.0	15.6	0.39
Will Barton	6	5	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	13	-23	19.7	14.8	4.83	11.6	15.9	-4.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.66,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.54,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	92.3%
MIA 92, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.9,0.96,0.92,1	91.5%
BOS 96, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.96,1	91.4%