NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	76		Excitement	4.9 [863]		MVP	Maurice Evans (ATL): +18.0%
Atlanta Hawks	86		Comeback	1.5 [416]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -20.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	10	70%	0.09	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	11	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	11	32%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	19	40%	-0.05	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.04	0.00	14	28%	-0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	9	72%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	-0.01	-0.03	15	66%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	11	35%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.20	-0.00	-0.09	18	27%	-0.06	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.4	30.4	15.7	27.2	2.7	32.2	138.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +51.3%

ATL +2.8%

LAL -2.9%

ATL +1.2%

LAL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.1	15.5	86.4	94.5	106.4
season	14.9	15.8		110.6	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.4		106.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	17.2	18.1	12.8	16.0
ATL	15.0	17.9	13.4	18.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	19.5	15.6	3.90	17.0	16.0	0.96
Luke Walton	29	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-10	10	16.8	15.7	1.06	18.0	15.3	2.75
Trevor Ariza	52	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-5	0	15.9	16.3	-0.44	15.9	16.5	-0.67
Lamar Odom	61	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-9	8	15.7	16.9	-1.16	16.2	16.0	0.24
Derek Fisher	53	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-9	8	16.5	15.4	1.02	16.5	15.5	1.00
Sasha Vujacic	40	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	15.7	16.4	-0.68	15.3	16.8	-1.44
Josh Powell	33	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-4	-2	16.3	15.9	0.46	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Kobe Bryant	69	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-8	6	15.6	17.8	-2.29	16.2	15.7	0.49
Jordan Farmar	21	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	5	-20	16.8	15.8	1.00	14.5	16.7	-2.15
Pau Gasol	72	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	0	-10	15.7	17.4	-1.70	16.1	16.3	-0.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	62	61	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.17	15	-5	20	16.1	16.2	-0.11	17.2	13.5	3.65
Al Horford	65	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	2	6	16.0	16.5	-0.57	15.2	18.2	-2.95
Zaza Pachulia	42	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-1	12	15.8	16.4	-0.69	16.7	15.5	1.19
Maurice Evans	54	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	-1	12	15.8	16.6	-0.78	16.6	15.3	1.29
Joe Johnson	78	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	4	2	16.0	16.9	-0.92	15.8	17.6	-1.84
Mike Bibby	79	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	6	-2	16.5	13.7	2.84	16.0	16.1	-0.04
Ronald Murray	60	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	5	0	16.2	16.1	0.10	15.2	17.7	-2.50
Mario West	10	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	14	-18	18.1	15.9	2.21	17.6	15.8	1.75
Solomon Jones	5	4	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	16	-22	17.0	16.1	0.92	12.2	16.2	-3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	94.8%
MIA 92, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
WAS 86, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%