NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	5.1 [804]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +18.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Comeback	1.2 [966]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -10.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.06	-0.03	17	67%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.03	11	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	7	69%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	19	36%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	16	47%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	24	46%	0.03	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	0.06	18	55%	0.00	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.8	28.4	15.6	24.1	2.4	33.6	131.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.8%

OKC -2.5%

UTA +1.1%

UTA +24.5%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	15.5	105.2	96.9	106.4
season	15.3	14.9		107.7	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.2	12.2	17.7	16.3	15.2
OKC	14.2	14.4	15.0	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	0	7	15.7	12.4	3.32	14.7	14.6	0.03
Carlos Boozer	83	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	2	3	15.6	12.8	2.72	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Andrei Kirilenko	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	1	5	14.1	16.8	-2.75	14.5	14.8	-0.27
Paul Millsap	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	3	1	15.6	14.4	1.19	14.6	14.8	-0.16
Ronnie Brewer	66	68	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	4	-1	15.7	14.1	1.65	14.7	14.6	0.14
CJ Miles	37	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-1	9	15.6	15.0	0.60	14.6	14.7	-0.12
Mehmet Okur	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	-2	11	14.4	15.5	-1.08	16.2	14.1	2.14
Kyle Korver	49	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.32	-6	13	-19	15.3	15.1	0.18	14.4	14.9	-0.42
Brevin Knight	15	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	12.4	15.7	-3.32	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Jarron Collins	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	9.2	15.5	-6.21	12.2	14.8	-2.50

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Weaver	36	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.12	6	-13	19	14.5	14.7	-0.19	14.2	15.8	-1.53
Malik Rose	37	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-9	11	15.9	13.9	2.05	14.5	15.6	-1.04
Nick Collison	53	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-13	19	14.8	14.5	0.32	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Chucky Atkins	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-7	7	16.3	13.9	2.36	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Kevin Durant	89	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	14.5	16.5	-2.02	15.5	12.0	3.53
Nenad Krstic	50	51	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	5	-17	13.8	15.6	-1.84	15.0	15.4	-0.34
Thabo Sefolosha	51	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	4	-15	14.5	14.8	-0.34	16.5	13.7	2.76
Russell Westbrook	72	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	3	-13	14.1	16.2	-2.09	15.5	14.4	1.02
Jeff Green	66	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	7	-21	14.7	14.5	0.29	15.5	14.4	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, MEM 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MEM 102, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	94.4%
IND 98, NJN 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	94.3%