NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	5.1 [826]		MVP	Jae Crowder (UTA): +17.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	78		Comeback	1.4 [1127]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -16.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.20	0.01	0.04	12	85%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	10	80%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	60%	0.06	4	-0.06	6	33%	-0.05
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	10	48%	-0.01	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	15	39%	-0.04	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brice Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Rathan-Mayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	16	53%	0.04	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	15	38%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	27.2	14.7	26.2	1.8	29.3	127.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.1%

UTA +1.8%

UTA +12.2%

MEM -5.0%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	15.0	14.7	100.0	81.2	107.5
season	15.1	15.4		106.6	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	13.7	14.4	16.2	15.2
MEM	17.8	15.6	13.8	13.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	66	67	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.05	22	-5	27	15.0	15.7	-0.69	15.4	13.9	1.55
Ricky Rubio	61	61	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-3	23	15.2	15.1	0.05	15.2	14.7	0.51
Donovan Mitchell	67	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	2	13	15.5	14.4	1.17	15.2	14.4	0.83
Jae Crowder	69	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	5	7	14.8	16.3	-1.50	14.6	16.1	-1.56
Royce O'Neale	39	38	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.05	12	5	7	12.9	16.8	-3.87	15.5	14.7	0.82
Joe Ingles	62	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	8	1	15.7	14.2	1.53	15.2	14.5	0.73
Derrick Favors	55	53	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	23	-29	16.4	13.5	2.90	15.1	14.8	0.30
Ekpe Udoh	3	4	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	13	-9	15.3	15.2	0.16	11.7	15.1	-3.37
Georges Niang	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	13	-9	15.3	15.2	0.16	11.3	15.1	-3.76
Raul Neto	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	17	-17	15.2	15.2	0.07	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Jonas Jerebko	24	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	24	-31	15.4	15.1	0.26	14.1	15.3	-1.16

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deyonta Davis	33	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-19	21	14.5	15.2	-0.66	15.2	15.2	0.01
Brice Johnson	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	11.3	15.1	-3.76	17.5	15.1	2.37
Ivan Rabb	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-13	9	11.3	15.1	-3.76	15.3	15.2	0.16
Dillon Brooks	64	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-15	13	14.8	15.3	-0.55	16.2	13.1	3.04
Ben McLemore	53	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-16	15	15.6	14.3	1.31	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Jarell Martin	64	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-11	5	14.9	15.2	-0.31	14.4	16.6	-2.15
Wayne Selden	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-13	9	15.3	14.8	0.41	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Xavier Rathan-Mayes	55	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-8	-1	14.7	15.4	-0.76	14.2	16.5	-2.33
Kobi Simmons	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-1	-15	15.1	14.8	0.33	16.2	14.1	2.07
Marc Gasol	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	2	-21	15.2	14.5	0.66	15.2	15.2	-0.01
JaMychal Green	62	61	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.10	-24	7	-31	15.1	14.7	0.47	15.6	14.5	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, OKC 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	95.5%
SAC 111, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.08,0	94.7%
POR 113, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%