NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	102		Excitement	4.3 [969]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +25.5%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	1.1 [588]		LVP	Shawn Marion (TOR): -18.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.25	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.19	0.09	0.02	13	79%	0.32	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	21	71%	0.20	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	14	48%	0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	8	31%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.02	0.07	17	71%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	18	62%	0.12	2	-0.02	20	95%	0.07
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	8	25%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.8	34.1	17.7	24.2	2.7	28.3	138.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +46.6%

TOR -8.9%

TOR -2.5%

CHA +11.9%

CHA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	18.3	14.3	15.5	115.9	100.0	106.4
season	16.5	15.1		103.0	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		108.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.6	17.8	16.7	21.1	18.3
TOR	12.4	14.9	16.8	13.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	67	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-4	21	19.2	15.3	3.86	14.8	12.5	2.31
Raymond Felton	77	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-1	15	18.7	15.5	3.12	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Gerald Wallace	78	79	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-4	21	17.8	22.0	-4.21	14.3	13.9	0.44
Raja Bell	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	2	9	17.8	21.2	-3.45	14.1	15.4	-1.35
DeSagana Diop	22	21	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	5	3	18.5	18.2	0.24	14.7	14.2	0.55
Vladimir Radmanovic	45	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	13	-13	17.4	19.2	-1.88	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Emeka Okafor	36	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	10	-7	17.9	18.5	-0.56	14.6	14.0	0.58
D.J. Augustin	23	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	12	-11	19.7	17.8	1.99	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Cartier Martin	6	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	13	-13	18.8	18.2	0.60	14.4	14.3	0.11
Juwan Howard	10	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	19	-25	17.6	18.4	-0.76	14.0	14.3	-0.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	5	5	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-17	21	14.6	14.3	0.33	23.6	18.0	5.65
Roko Leni Ukic	16	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-15	17	12.8	14.6	-1.80	23.4	17.3	6.13
Anthony Parker	69	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-13	13	14.6	13.1	1.54	18.9	16.0	2.86
Chris Bosh	74	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	14.8	11.9	2.92	18.6	16.3	2.36
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	17	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-5	-3	13.4	14.5	-1.16	16.2	18.7	-2.47
Jason Kapono	27	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	2	-17	13.7	14.5	-0.79	15.5	19.4	-3.94
Joey Graham	31	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	14.3	14.3	-0.00	18.3	18.2	0.06
Shawn Marion	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	0	-13	14.5	13.8	0.70	17.4	20.0	-2.62
Andrea Bargnani	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-5	-3	14.1	15.0	-0.85	18.2	18.7	-0.47
Jose Calderon	74	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-5	-3	14.1	15.0	-0.85	18.2	18.7	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.31,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
SAS 97, VAN 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
BOS 85, TOR 69	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%