NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	8.9 [136]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +37.9%
New Orleans Hornets	94		Comeback	4.7 [483]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -37.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.38	0.12	0.27	0.01	11	66%	0.41	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.11
Sebastian Telfair	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.23	-0.05	0.27	-0.01	11	45%	0.32	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.00	4	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	4	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.38	-0.07	-0.30	0.01	12	42%	-0.31	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,0.1,0.26	0.26	-0.12	0.36	-0.02	13	39%	0.33	4	-0.07	10	80%	0.07
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	21	54%	0.23	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.07	0.00	8	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	8	29%	-0.04	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.2	15.7	27.9	1.8	37.0	138.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.6%

NOH +0.5%

NOH +39.8%

MIN -18.7%

MIN -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOH	NBA	MIN	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.5	104.5	104.4	106.4
season	15.8	16.6		104.3	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.3	13.6	17.9	15.4	15.8
NOH	15.0	18.3	16.4	15.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	43	43	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.05	3	-4	7	15.0	16.5	-1.48	16.7	16.1	0.68
Craig Smith	28	28	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.12	7	-8	15	14.0	16.6	-2.55	18.9	15.3	3.63
Sebastian Telfair	58	60	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-7	13	16.1	15.3	0.81	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Kevin Ollie	6	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	0	-1	14.0	15.9	-1.92	19.4	16.1	3.28
Jason Collins	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	6	-13	18.6	15.4	3.17	15.9	16.4	-0.56
Rodney Carney	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-5	9	14.5	16.7	-2.13	16.4	16.4	0.09
Mike Miller	60	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.52	-2	1	-3	16.0	15.4	0.55	16.5	16.2	0.20
Kevin Love	61	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.35	-8	7	-15	16.6	14.0	2.55	15.3	18.9	-3.63
Randy Foye	75	75	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.58	-2	1	-3	15.9	14.9	1.02	16.6	15.2	1.43
Ryan Gomes	67	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.51	-5	4	-9	16.1	14.8	1.35	15.7	18.5	-2.87

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	52	51	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-10	21	16.7	16.0	0.67	17.3	13.7	3.62
James Posey	55	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.42	1	0	1	16.0	16.9	-0.91	15.2	16.7	-1.45
David West	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	-1	3	16.3	16.6	-0.26	15.6	16.2	-0.63
Rasual Butler	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.49	-4	5	-9	15.9	19.1	-3.14	15.9	15.2	0.65
Chris Paul	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.49	-4	5	-9	15.9	19.1	-3.14	15.9	15.2	0.65
Morris Peterson	27	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	-5	11	17.2	16.0	1.19	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Antonio Daniels	13	13	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	-4	9	19.1	15.9	3.14	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Julian Wright	35	33	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	1	-1	16.9	16.0	0.91	16.7	15.2	1.45
Ryan Bowen	18	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	4	-7	16.9	16.3	0.62	15.7	15.8	-0.04
Sean Marks	32	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	10	-19	16.2	16.5	-0.31	13.7	16.9	-3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.58,1	90.6%
GSW 93, NOK 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.67,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.73,1	90.4%
POR 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.42,1	90.1%