NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	8.9 [138]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +80.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	17.3 [15]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -35.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.80	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.8	0.03	0.74	-0.04	21	51%	0.84	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.12	0.25	0.00	3	150%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	3	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.14	0.07	-0.21	-0.00	15	55%	-0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	8	15%	-0.12	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.07
Andre Miller	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.35	-0.11	-0.24	0.01	12	33%	-0.12	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	0.00	12	76%	0.26	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.08
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	10	76%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	11	56%	0.14	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	9	45%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.45,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	15	37%	0.01	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.3	32.5	15.4	23.5	2.6	29.6	130.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +55.3%

LAL -14.7%

LAL -11.8%

PHI +7.1%

PHI +14.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.6	15.5	105.6	104.5	106.4
season	15.5	14.9		105.3	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.9		102.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	17.9	19.7	13.2	16.7
LAL	12.2	16.4	13.0	21.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	17	18	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.57	12	-11	23	12.1	17.8	-5.77	22.0	14.0	7.99
Lou Williams	49	50	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.39	16	-15	31	15.7	18.0	-2.40	17.1	13.8	3.31
Thaddeus Young	56	56	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.76	-3	4	-7	17.7	15.0	2.75	14.3	17.9	-3.58
Royal Ivey	20	22	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-7	15	13.1	17.8	-4.68	19.2	14.4	4.78
Andre Iguodala	85	85	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	3	-5	16.8	15.7	1.03	15.3	22.0	-6.67
Marreese Speights	10	10	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	-6	13	17.0	16.7	0.30	12.1	16.1	-3.98
Theo Ratliff	7	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	15.6	16.8	-1.26	17.7	15.4	2.33
Reggie Evans	37	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.32	10	-9	19	14.0	18.7	-4.63	18.1	13.9	4.24
Andre Miller	69	67	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.28	-14	15	-29	17.8	13.2	4.55	14.6	18.8	-4.24
Willie Green	39	38	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	13	-25	18.5	15.4	3.08	13.6	17.2	-3.58
Samuel Dalembert	56	54	-0.63	1.13	-1.77	-0.02	-21	22	-43	18.7	13.4	5.35	13.9	18.3	-4.33

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	61	62	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.44	27	-28	55	14.2	18.6	-4.40	18.0	13.7	4.34
Luke Walton	26	25	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.20	0	-1	1	13.1	16.7	-3.61	16.8	16.7	0.15
Trevor Ariza	66	67	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.51	21	-22	43	14.7	18.3	-3.61	17.9	13.2	4.65
Lamar Odom	68	69	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.45	19	-20	39	14.7	18.6	-3.91	17.6	13.7	3.91
DJ Mbenga	4	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	5	-11	13.2	15.7	-2.49	11.2	17.0	-5.74
Shannon Brown	6	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	7	-15	18.5	15.4	3.08	13.3	17.0	-3.64
Pau Gasol	82	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.46	7	-8	15	15.4	18.7	-3.35	17.0	13.7	3.27
Sasha Vujacic	25	24	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	13	-27	19.2	14.2	5.02	15.5	17.2	-1.63
Jordan Farmar	22	21	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.11	-20	19	-39	18.7	14.6	4.05	13.8	17.6	-3.82
Josh Powell	24	23	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.12	-22	21	-43	19.5	14.2	5.36	14.1	17.6	-3.51
Kobe Bryant	61	62	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.56	-9	8	-17	16.2	14.3	1.96	15.9	18.6	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.8,0.77,0.59,0.45,0.27,0.19,0.36,0.34,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 105, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.08,0	89.6%
LAL 97, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	89.6%
SAC 96, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.26,0	89.0%