NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	120		Excitement	8.3 [190]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +56.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	112		Comeback	3.4 [200]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -18.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.56	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.35,0.57,0.56,0.56	0.10	0.40	-0.06	17	70%	0.74	7	-0.18	12	92%	0.07
Larry Hughes	0.42	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.42	0.25	0.20	0.03	20	80%	0.50	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.04
David Lee	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.07	0.02	10	76%	0.19	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.02	14	49%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	89%	0.04
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	6	31%	-0.03	4	-0.15	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	5	42%	-0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.01	18	58%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.01	0.06	26	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	60%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.06
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.03	-0.05	16	36%	0.01	5	-0.16	12	75%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	10	27%	-0.13	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	32.2	14.8	30.1	2.5	34.5	140.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.6%

NYK +30.5%

MIL -7.9%

MIL -15.2%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	12.7	13.7	15.5	111.1	101.8	106.4
season	13.8	15.0		106.2	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.5	12.1	13.0	13.1	12.7
MIL	14.2	14.0	12.7	14.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	71	70	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.21	17	-9	26	12.8	12.5	0.32	14.5	12.3	2.15
Larry Hughes	97	98	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-2	12	12.7	13.0	-0.34	13.3	16.9	-3.59
David Lee	79	80	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-2	12	12.9	12.1	0.86	14.3	12.1	2.27
Al Harrington	83	85	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-6	20	12.4	13.6	-1.18	13.9	13.0	0.98
Nate Robinson	71	73	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.31	1	7	-6	12.2	13.6	-1.45	13.7	13.7	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	42	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	11	-14	13.7	12.0	1.71	13.8	13.6	0.21
Wilson Chandler	77	78	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	12	-16	12.8	12.4	0.43	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Chris Wilcox	20	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	13	-18	11.8	12.9	-1.10	11.0	14.3	-3.30

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	47	47	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-10	12	13.7	13.7	0.05	12.0	13.2	-1.27
Luke Ridnour	50	51	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-11	14	13.6	13.8	-0.25	13.3	12.2	1.10
Joe Alexander	19	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-7	6	12.1	14.1	-1.95	13.6	12.5	1.11
Charlie Bell	92	92	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-10	12	13.9	12.7	1.26	12.6	13.2	-0.65
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	13.0	14.5	-1.51	12.0	13.5	-1.43
Charlie Villanueva	80	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	12.5	16.8	-4.28	12.8	12.4	0.34
Francisco Elson	48	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	4	-16	15.3	12.5	2.75	12.7	12.7	0.07
Richard Jefferson	78	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	3	-14	14.2	12.5	1.67	12.8	12.5	0.21
Ramon Sessions	77	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	3	-14	14.2	12.5	1.72	13.0	12.1	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 80, WAS 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.06,0,0	91.2%
MIL 84, IND 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.08,0	91.1%
MIA 102, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.45,0.02,0	91.0%