inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 84 Excitement8.8 [144] MVPAndrew Bogut (MIL): +19.0%
Indiana Pacers 81 Comeback2.9 [309] LVPMike Dunleavy (IND): -37.5%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Bogut0.190,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.190.140.080.021969%0.263-0.07743%-0.07
Luc Mbah a Moute0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.080.010.06-0.00450%0.0800.00450%-0.04
Kurt Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Redd0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.010.010.010.021250%0.041-0.03450%-0.04
Luke Ridnour0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00560%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.16,-0.15,-0.2,-0.07,-0.02-0.070.03-0.021940%0.092-0.10250%-0.03
Francisco Elson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.050.00550%-0.031-0.0320%-0.05
Hakim Warrick-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.0130%-0.043-0.0900%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.170,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.01916%-0.122-0.051100%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.130.130.050.080.00765%0.161-0.033100%0.02
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00275%0.071-0.03450%-0.01
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00844%0.031-0.0500%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.00633%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.100.001550%-0.072-0.052100%0.03
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.030.02961%0.077-0.18580%-0.01
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.00832%-0.062-0.06650%-0.11
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.22-0.22-0.10-0.120.001231%-0.152-0.082100%0.02
Mike Dunleavy0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.37,-0.37,-0.38-0.38-0.22-0.17-0.011712%-0.341-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.526.315.725.00.240.4132.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +75.8%
IND -21.2%
IND -16.8%
MIL +11.1%
MIL +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILINDNBAMILINDNBA
this game15.214.115.384.882.7106.0
season15.514.2103.3102.2
opponent15.115.5105.3101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.414.814.017.715.2
IND13.812.916.013.714.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Bogut82810.78-0.281.060.3415-122715.214.80.4714.113.80.31
Luc Mbah a Moute47470.73-0.230.970.3214-112513.416.8-3.4113.914.3-0.40
Charlie Bell44430.69-0.190.890.439-61515.614.80.8714.114.1-0.02
Michael Redd84840.62-0.120.730.388-51315.314.50.7314.114.10.01
Brandon Jennings81820.55-0.050.600.405-2715.314.40.8614.114.00.10
Ersan Ilyasova4849-0.070.57-0.650.01-36-916.613.72.9014.114.1-0.04
Hakim Warrick2220-0.090.59-0.680.03-47-1114.415.4-0.9514.613.90.65
Luke Ridnour2423-0.110.61-0.71-0.02-36-915.415.10.3514.214.00.18
Kurt Thomas89-0.130.63-0.770.01-58-1316.715.01.7414.914.00.89
Carlos Delfino2524-0.140.64-0.780.06-710-1715.415.10.3915.013.81.22
Francisco Elson98-0.150.65-0.790.06-710-1713.015.4-2.3712.614.2-1.59
Jodie Meeks2120-0.180.68-0.860.02-710-1713.815.5-1.7012.814.4-1.61

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luther Head32340.02-0.520.54-0.073-6914.413.90.5315.614.90.67
Brandon Rush4040-0.02-0.480.45-0.144-71114.813.61.1715.415.00.42
Solomon Jones2324-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-3314.813.90.9716.214.81.45
Earl Watson5252-0.06-0.440.37-0.03-1-2113.414.9-1.4815.614.61.02
Roy Hibbert6161-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-1-114.114.00.1314.516.2-1.68
Tyler Hansbrough4041-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-2113.514.4-0.9015.914.61.28
T.J. Ford4647-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.38-2-1-114.913.41.4814.615.6-1.02
Mike Dunleavy6463-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-52-713.814.6-0.8715.115.2-0.02
Troy Murphy7272-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.41-30-314.114.00.0614.915.8-0.91
Dahntay Jones6061-0.510.01-0.51-0.27-85-1313.714.6-0.8614.815.8-1.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 107, HOU 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.59,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.24,0.08,092.1%
PHX 88, LAL 850.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.26,092.0%
BOS 106, MIL 990.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.05,091.6%