NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	8.1 [226]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): +42.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	17.7 [100]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): -36.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.43	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.43	0.14	0.29	0.01	19	62%	0.46	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Troy Murphy	0.24	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.08	0.00	13	73%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	2	89%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	13	57%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.37,-0.37	-0.17	-0.20	-0.01	17	29%	-0.18	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	16	54%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.1	0.10	0.26	-0.14	0.03	18	80%	0.16	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	19	55%	0.15	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.08
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	12	34%	-0.05	3	-0.24	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	27.9	15.7	26.4	2.5	39.3	137.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.2%

IND +12.4%

LAC -2.1%

IND +25.3%

LAC -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.8	15.5	110.4	109.4	106.4
season	14.1	15.7		106.5	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.8	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	13.7	13.5	13.8	14.2
LAC	15.1	14.0	16.5	17.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	48	48	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.47	10	-9	19	14.1	14.4	-0.33	16.1	15.4	0.67
T.J. Ford	65	66	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.66	3	-2	5	14.6	13.5	1.18	16.4	14.4	2.01
Jarrett Jack	85	85	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.60	2	-1	3	13.8	17.6	-3.82	15.2	20.1	-4.90
Troy Murphy	79	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.53	-1	2	-3	14.5	13.2	1.23	16.4	13.2	3.17
Marquis Daniels	69	70	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.50	-1	2	-3	14.7	13.0	1.69	16.4	13.9	2.51
Jeff Foster	40	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.20	4	-3	7	14.3	14.2	0.04	16.0	15.5	0.53
Rasho Nesterovic	40	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	7	-13	13.5	14.8	-1.24	16.3	15.4	0.94
Travis Diener	35	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.22	2	-1	3	13.9	14.5	-0.57	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Maceo Baston	19	18	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.07	-8	9	-17	14.8	14.1	0.74	10.2	17.0	-6.87

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	9	9	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.21	1	-2	3	17.8	15.5	2.24	16.1	14.1	2.05
DeAndre Jordan	56	54	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-8	15	14.2	17.9	-3.64	14.9	13.5	1.38
Alex Acker	25	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	5	-11	15.1	16.0	-0.85	12.9	14.7	-1.82
Steve Novak	7	8	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-1	1	13.9	15.9	-2.04	11.9	14.5	-2.59
Mike Taylor	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-5	9	16.2	14.9	1.28	14.6	13.5	1.04
Eric Gordon	90	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.50	3	-4	7	16.0	11.7	4.36	14.4	12.6	1.81
Fred Jones	86	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	2	-5	15.3	19.6	-4.30	14.4	13.1	1.28
Al Thornton	85	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.48	-3	2	-5	16.1	12.8	3.31	14.4	13.1	1.31
Zach Randolph	56	57	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.45	-8	7	-15	16.7	14.5	2.19	13.3	15.6	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.73,0	92.5%
DET 94, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.85,0	91.4%
NYK 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.68,0.58,0	91.3%