NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	78		Excitement	2.9 [1193]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +11.6%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	1.2 [1272]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -12.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	58%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Mike James	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	13	34%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	50%	0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.01	0.06	9	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	9	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Malik Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	5	69%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	26.7	15.8	26.4	2.4	30.3	130.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.8%

SAS +1.2%

SAS +0.1%

SAS +3.5%

SAS +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.5	83.9	106.4	106.4
season	15.9	16.4		103.5	106.6
opponent	15.7	15.2		103.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.1	14.3	16.9	15.3	15.4
SAS	14.9	15.1	14.4	17.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-26	30	14.4	15.6	-1.16	15.9	15.3	0.54
Juan Dixon	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-24	26	16.3	15.0	1.24	16.6	14.9	1.73
JaVale McGee	37	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-21	20	16.1	14.9	1.22	15.8	15.1	0.68
Javaris Crittenton	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-14	6	15.3	15.4	-0.14	14.6	16.2	-1.64
Nick Young	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-13	4	16.1	14.1	2.00	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Darius Songaila	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-4	-14	15.1	15.7	-0.59	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Mike James	47	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-8	-6	15.4	15.3	0.14	16.2	14.6	1.64
Andray Blatche	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	-6	-10	14.5	17.2	-2.66	15.9	14.4	1.51
Antawn Jamison	62	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.25	-23	1	-24	15.1	15.9	-0.74	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Dominic McGuire	53	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.28	-27	5	-32	15.5	15.3	0.18	14.7	16.3	-1.64

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	34	33	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	-5	32	14.3	16.1	-1.82	15.4	15.4	0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	36	36	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.12	18	4	14	15.4	15.5	-0.10	16.1	14.9	1.24
Tony Parker	50	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	7	8	15.2	15.7	-0.48	14.4	16.6	-2.18
Bruce Bowen	32	34	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.29	19	3	16	13.8	16.2	-2.40	15.3	15.4	-0.18
Michael Finley	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.12	13	9	4	15.4	15.4	0.04	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Ime Udoka	51	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	13	-4	15.2	15.7	-0.50	16.0	14.6	1.38
Matt Bonner	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	8	6	15.4	15.5	-0.10	15.1	15.7	-0.58
George Hill	49	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	19	-16	15.7	15.1	0.60	15.7	15.1	0.60
Fabricio Oberto	34	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	22	-22	16.6	14.7	1.87	15.8	15.2	0.65
Malik Hairston	41	39	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	24	-26	16.0	15.0	0.93	15.6	15.2	0.46
Tim Duncan	35	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	22	-22	15.8	15.2	0.60	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Jacque Vaughn	25	22	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	28	-34	16.5	15.0	1.49	15.5	15.3	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, BOS 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 81, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
UTA 86, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%