inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 90 Excitement4.4 [949] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +24.5%
Denver Nuggets 106 Comeback1.2 [1101] LVPChauncey Billups (DEN): -8.6%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Outlaw0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.020.041075%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Fernandez0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.01765%0.071-0.01367%-0.01
Joel Przybilla0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00262%0.0200.00475%-0.00
Steve Blake0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.02757%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Michael Ruffin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.010.01650%-0.001-0.01250%-0.02
Sergio Rodriguez-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.010.031558%0.053-0.073100%0.01
Brandon Roy-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.020.051654%-0.001-0.03944%-0.06
Jerryd Bayless-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00237%-0.012-0.05475%0.00
Channing Frye-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.0430%-0.032-0.0300%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.200.060.022666%0.282-0.04683%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.120.050.001268%0.1700.001100%0.01
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.011162%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Nene0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.000.051167%0.082-0.052100%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Sonny Weems00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01456%0.033-0.071100%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.120.00-0.031334%-0.014-0.083100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.23.428.118.726.33.632.2140.4
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +27.2%
DEN +14.5%
DEN +6.2%
DEN +0.9%
DEN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game15.916.515.5101.1119.1106.4
season16.714.4111.0109.5
opponent15.716.0105.2105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR16.516.014.816.115.9
DEN13.017.517.218.916.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolas Batum29280.02-0.520.530.08-2-141215.316.1-0.7717.116.20.84
Michael Ruffin550.00-0.500.500.03-1-151411.816.1-4.3116.416.5-0.10
Joel Przybilla5049-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-151416.515.01.5417.215.61.53
Jerryd Bayless2424-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-151414.616.3-1.7017.416.21.26
Sergio Rodriguez1314-0.11-0.390.270.06-6-10415.515.9-0.4713.917.0-3.04
Rudy Fernandez4039-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-7-9216.215.60.7015.817.0-1.15
Steve Blake6161-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-8016.514.61.8917.614.13.43
Brandon Roy7473-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.12-7-9215.915.50.4017.113.63.50
Channing Frye2526-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-12-4-814.516.4-1.8713.717.6-3.90
LaMarcus Aldridge7474-0.510.01-0.520.02-182-2016.214.41.7616.317.3-0.93
Travis Outlaw5052-0.580.08-0.65-0.08-171-1815.716.1-0.3815.717.5-1.79

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups75750.50-0.000.50-0.0619-32216.516.6-0.0916.114.61.54
Carmelo Anthony73730.460.040.410.021511416.018.8-2.8315.517.4-1.84
Chris Andersen50510.360.140.230.1388015.717.5-1.8116.614.91.65
Linas Kleiza49490.340.160.18-0.041331017.115.81.2616.115.60.44
J.R. Smith71710.300.200.090.0397217.313.53.7515.318.1-2.75
Dahntay Jones31310.250.250.010.11511-614.917.4-2.4916.215.70.55
Nene62610.250.250.000.0288017.514.33.1616.314.91.47
Johan Petro28280.040.46-0.43-0.05313-1017.116.20.9515.116.2-1.16
Jason Hart330.000.50-0.500.00016-1611.316.7-5.3413.016.0-2.97
Sonny Weems330.000.50-0.500.00016-1611.316.7-5.3413.016.0-2.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.84,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 87, UTA 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
CLE 100, BOS 1150.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
DET 88, CHI 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%