NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	8.2 [205]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +33.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	13.3 [102]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -28.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.03	0.16	-0.02	18	47%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.07,0.18	0.12	0.09	0.03	11	79%	0.26	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.05
Rashard Lewis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.1	0.16	-0.05	0.00	12	88%	0.27	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.00	8	39%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	55%	-0.01	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.17
Rafer Alston	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19	-0.02	-0.17	0.01	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33	0.34	0.09	0.22	-0.02	14	72%	0.38	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	14	61%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	1	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.17	-0.05	21	45%	-0.11	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.07
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.15,-0.29	-0.29	-0.01	-0.28	-0.00	15	53%	-0.22	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.6	28.3	15.7	26.2	2.7	38.2	140.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +73.3%

PHI -18.2%

ORL +19.9%

PHI -27.0%

ORL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.5	114.0	108.7	106.4
season	15.3	15.5		107.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.8		105.5	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	16.3	17.5	14.3	16.0
PHI	16.1	15.0	15.2	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	81	78	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.28	16	-10	26	16.0	16.0	-0.05	15.4	13.9	1.47
Hedo Turkoglu	76	76	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-7	20	15.8	16.6	-0.84	15.6	13.2	2.40
Courtney Lee	61	60	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	0	6	16.2	15.6	0.60	14.7	16.1	-1.41
Anthony Johnson	38	41	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-4	14	16.3	15.7	0.65	15.0	15.3	-0.23
Dwight Howard	61	62	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	3	0	15.8	16.3	-0.49	15.8	14.0	1.79
Marcin Gortat	32	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.11	3	3	0	16.3	15.8	0.49	14.0	15.8	-1.79
Rafer Alston	55	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	10	-14	15.7	16.3	-0.65	15.3	15.0	0.23
JJ Redick	27	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	8	-10	14.9	16.4	-1.51	16.3	14.7	1.54
Tony Battie	8	9	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	15	-24	14.6	16.1	-1.46	13.6	15.3	-1.79
Mickael Pietrus	26	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.05	-6	12	-18	17.5	15.4	2.09	13.8	15.7	-1.85

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	14	14	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-10	14	16.2	15.0	1.23	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Royal Ivey	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-2	-2	13.1	15.8	-2.68	14.5	16.4	-1.91
Reggie Evans	38	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-1	-4	15.4	15.0	0.47	16.2	15.8	0.48
Samuel Dalembert	29	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-3	0	15.7	15.0	0.70	17.5	15.2	2.30
Willie Green	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.20	-1	-5	4	14.9	16.0	-1.13	15.8	16.3	-0.50
Lou Williams	26	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	15.6	15.0	0.62	16.3	15.8	0.50
Andre Iguodala	88	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-5	4	14.9	20.7	-5.83	15.9	16.7	-0.83
Theo Ratliff	26	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-5	4	15.5	15.0	0.51	14.9	16.4	-1.44
Thaddeus Young	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	2	-10	15.2	15.0	0.21	16.0	15.9	0.12
Andre Miller	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	0	-6	15.5	13.9	1.63	16.0	15.7	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.76,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, NJN 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.69,0.74,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.79,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.04,0	91.0%
OKC 107, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.09,0.16,0	90.9%
PHX 87, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.71,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	90.6%