NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Excitement	8.6 [180]		MVP	Derek Fisher (OKC): +21.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	20.0 [221]		LVP	Shawne Williams (LAL): -14.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21	0.06	0.16	0.01	9	60%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Kevin Durant	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.12,-0.01,-0.07,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	33	55%	0.31	6	-0.17	12	100%	0.10
Serge Ibaka	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Jeremy Lamb	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	10	46%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.14	0.00	13	58%	0.24	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.12
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	13	63%	0.17	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.12	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.04
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	41%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	52%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.05
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.15	-0.01	16	47%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.6	30.6	18.7	30.6	3.5	44.4	156.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +7.0%

OKC +20.9%

LAL -3.5%

OKC +26.2%

LAL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	13.1	14.0	15.1	100.0	97.2	105.2
season	14.4	14.0		107.8	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.4		108.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.4	12.2	12.6	12.4	13.1
LAL	14.0	12.7	14.1	15.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	50	48	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.48	19	-15	34	12.6	13.5	-0.93	13.7	14.2	-0.48
Kevin Durant	92	93	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	1	2	13.2	12.1	1.09	14.1	12.8	1.28
Andre Roberson	30	29	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	-9	22	12.3	13.4	-1.08	15.4	13.4	1.99
Serge Ibaka	80	78	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	4	-4	13.5	11.9	1.54	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Nick Collison	37	36	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	-10	24	11.3	14.0	-2.76	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Jeremy Lamb	48	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	1	2	13.1	13.0	0.09	14.8	13.3	1.47
Thabo Sefolosha	65	66	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	8	-12	13.5	12.4	1.06	13.4	14.9	-1.45
Reggie Jackson	65	66	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.29	-10	14	-24	13.4	12.6	0.83	13.9	14.1	-0.17
Perry Jones	11	11	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	7	-10	14.3	12.9	1.34	12.5	14.1	-1.59
Steven Adams	18	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	10	-16	14.4	12.8	1.58	12.8	14.2	-1.44
Kendrick Perkins	39	40	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	13	-22	12.6	13.3	-0.72	13.9	14.0	-0.12

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	37	38	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	0	-4	13.5	14.2	-0.79	13.0	13.1	-0.08
Robert Sacre	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-4	4	12.7	14.4	-1.70	12.6	13.2	-0.69
Shawne Williams	77	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-8	12	14.0	13.9	0.06	13.1	13.1	0.01
Jordan Hill	42	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	5	-14	13.6	14.2	-0.62	12.7	13.3	-0.55
Steve Blake	82	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.45	1	-5	6	13.9	14.3	-0.41	13.5	11.6	1.87
Chris Kaman	77	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	14.5	12.7	1.76	12.9	13.4	-0.44
Wesley Johnson	93	92	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	14.1	12.8	1.28	13.2	12.1	1.09
Kendall Marshall	96	97	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	1	-6	14.2	11.7	2.51	13.0	14.0	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 84, LAC 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.14,0.16,0	92.2%
DET 103, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.53,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.08,0	91.9%
DET 99, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.22,0.27,0	91.5%