NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	10.2 [59]		MVP	Zach Randolph (LAC): +14.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	8.8 [39]		LVP	Mardy Collins (LAC): -31.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	10	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03	-0.01	0.06	0.02	10	61%	0.15	4	-0.12	8	50%	-0.16
Gabe Pruitt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	19	45%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Glen Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.11	0.00	-0.11	0.00	7	70%	-0.01	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.08
Leon Powe	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	6	19%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	3	43%	0.00	3	-0.17	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.1,0.14	0.14	-0.00	0.14	0.00	30	44%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	5	85%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.11
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.12	0.00	10	58%	0.19	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	70%	0.16	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	24%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31	-0.31	-0.05	-0.25	0.01	13	46%	-0.23	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	27.9	15.8	31.4	2.5	42.2	147.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +21.1%

BOS -22.4%

LAC +1.5%

LAC +24.8%

LAC +25.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.8	17.4	15.5	96.8	102.2	106.4
season	15.8	15.7		108.3	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		109.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.1	14.5	13.6	14.3	13.8
LAC	15.2	19.1	17.1	18.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	26	26	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.08	7	-9	16	14.3	13.7	0.61	17.3	17.4	-0.08
Leon Powe	48	48	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-5	8	13.6	14.1	-0.55	16.3	18.5	-2.22
Gabe Pruitt	11	11	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.10	7	-9	16	14.6	13.7	0.91	17.2	17.4	-0.21
Eddie House	44	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.37	11	-13	24	13.4	14.2	-0.79	16.5	18.1	-1.51
Ray Allen	82	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	2	-6	13.9	13.1	0.86	17.6	15.8	1.77
Rajon Rondo	73	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	8	-18	13.6	14.6	-0.95	17.4	17.3	0.12
Kendrick Perkins	59	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	3	-8	14.1	13.4	0.73	17.6	16.9	0.71
Paul Pierce	76	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.41	-9	7	-16	13.7	14.4	-0.69	17.4	17.1	0.30
Glen Davis	51	49	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.46	-10	8	-18	14.1	13.6	0.50	18.3	16.2	2.09

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	69	71	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.52	8	-6	14	17.5	17.0	0.48	14.2	12.7	1.44
Marcus Camby	78	80	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-8	18	17.4	17.2	0.15	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Fred Jones	61	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	5	-8	17.5	17.0	0.54	14.1	13.2	0.93
Zach Randolph	81	83	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.44	-2	4	-6	17.7	14.7	2.99	14.2	10.9	3.31
Ricky Davis	35	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.49	-5	7	-12	16.0	18.2	-2.17	12.3	14.8	-2.52
Mike Taylor	0	3	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	3	-4	0.0	17.4	-17.36	6.0	14.1	-8.09
Eric Gordon	41	42	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-2	6	17.0	17.7	-0.70	13.4	14.2	-0.73
DeAndre Jordan	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	-1	4	16.0	17.4	-1.43	16.2	13.7	2.53
Baron Davis	68	70	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	1	0	17.9	15.9	1.94	14.0	13.2	0.83
Steve Novak	18	17	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.12	-5	7	-12	16.7	17.5	-0.87	13.7	13.9	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.66,0.43,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.33,0.42,1	91.2%
DAL 93, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.32,0.4,0.27,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.57,0.28,1	90.4%
PHX 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	90.4%