NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	10.1 [60]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +37.2%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	6.0 [305]		LVP	Garrett Temple (SAC): -25.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.56,0.46,0.37	0.21	0.16	-0.01	28	65%	0.65	2	-0.28	9	89%	0.03
Kosta Koufos	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	4	78%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	42%	0.05	3	-0.14	5	80%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.26	-0.05	-0.20	-0.00	9	40%	0.00	2	-0.26	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.16	-0.03	20	55%	0.25	2	-0.01	15	80%	-0.03
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.15	-0.00	8	50%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.07	-0.00	8	72%	0.07	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.12	0.03	14	61%	0.01	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.07
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	9	35%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.0	33.0	15.8	27.2	1.7	35.2	137.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -75.9%

CHI +22.0%

CHI +53.7%

CHI +49.3%

CHI +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	14.8	107.6	113.3	107.7
season	15.4	15.1		106.0	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.6		105.9	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.0	12.1	19.5	16.7	16.3
CHI	17.1	15.6	14.8	13.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	25	25	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.07	3	-6	9	15.6	16.6	-1.00	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Malachi Richardson	17	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	11.6	17.4	-5.81	16.0	15.2	0.85
Garrett Temple	58	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-10	17	15.9	17.0	-1.02	15.7	14.7	0.93
Darren Collison	45	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-1	-1	18.0	14.7	3.23	16.0	14.6	1.41
Matt Barnes	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	2	-7	16.9	15.8	1.08	14.0	16.4	-2.36
Anthony Tolliver	50	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	8	-19	16.4	16.2	0.16	13.7	17.1	-3.39
Kosta Koufos	47	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-6	9	16.0	16.7	-0.67	16.4	14.1	2.33
Ty Lawson	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-2	1	14.7	18.0	-3.23	14.6	16.0	-1.41
DeMarcus Cousins	67	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.49	-6	3	-9	16.6	15.6	1.00	15.6	14.7	0.87
Arron Afflalo	63	61	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.60	-5	2	-7	17.7	13.2	4.50	16.0	13.8	2.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	71	74	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.47	14	-11	25	15.4	15.1	0.33	17.0	13.5	3.51
Paul Zipser	40	42	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-8	19	15.3	15.3	-0.02	17.7	15.2	2.51
Taj Gibson	54	55	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-3	9	15.4	15.2	0.19	16.5	16.1	0.32
Michael Carter-Williams	36	37	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	2	-1	15.5	15.2	0.36	16.6	16.1	0.45
Dwyane Wade	69	70	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.43	-11	14	-25	15.0	16.3	-1.27	15.6	18.7	-3.16
Robin Lopez	52	53	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	9	-15	16.9	13.2	3.68	16.8	15.6	1.23
Doug McDermott	41	41	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	3	-3	14.6	15.9	-1.38	16.2	16.4	-0.24
Nikola Mirotic	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	1	1	14.8	15.8	-1.03	16.6	16.1	0.52
Cristiano Felicio	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	1	1	13.7	16.2	-2.49	15.3	16.9	-1.55
Rajon Rondo	14	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	7	-11	17.3	14.9	2.34	10.6	17.3	-6.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.66,0.43,0.28,1	91.2%
SAC 97, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.25,0.27,1	90.9%
LAC 90, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.42,1	90.2%