inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 94 Excitement4.9 [842] MVPNicolas Batum (POR): +15.5%
Houston Rockets 98 Comeback1.6 [826] LVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -10.1%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nicolas Batum0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.160.010.026108%0.1500.001100%0.01
Travis Outlaw0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.050.050.010.011454%0.0500.0000%0.00
Brandon Roy0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01-0.020.040.002348%0.073-0.064100%0.01
Rudy Fernandez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.02633%0.0100.0000%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shavlik Randolph-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00050%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Steve Blake-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.030.03756%-0.021-0.022100%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01450%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Channing Frye-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.030.0010%-0.061-0.0220%-0.05
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1-0.05-0.030.021944%-0.063-0.041070%-0.02

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.080.080.080.01-0.001358%0.121-0.041090%0.04
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.02-0.01667%0.0800.0000%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01962%0.101-0.03683%-0.01
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.070.07-0.010.04-0.032048%0.112-0.042100%0.03
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.04853%0.061-0.0110%-0.01
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.021545%0.035-0.103100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.428.115.625.42.542.2142.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +26.7%
HOU +13.5%
HOU +12.9%
POR -4.0%
HOU +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORHOUNBAPORHOUNBA
this game15.215.915.5102.2105.4106.4
season16.716.3111.0105.9
opponent15.216.0102.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.417.715.113.815.2
HOU14.414.317.617.515.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolas Batum52530.17-0.670.83-0.4822-264813.517.5-3.9717.014.52.51
Jerryd Bayless910-0.04-0.460.42-0.071-5617.415.02.4615.815.9-0.12
LaMarcus Aldridge6669-0.09-0.410.32-0.5616-203615.414.90.4816.214.91.33
Shavlik Randolph1010-0.13-0.370.240.04-62-814.015.4-1.3811.316.5-5.16
Channing Frye1616-0.14-0.360.220.04-62-816.115.11.0117.715.52.23
Sergio Rodriguez1211-0.15-0.350.200.05-73-1014.215.4-1.2211.416.5-5.15
Brandon Roy7779-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.477-111814.916.9-1.9616.413.33.08
Steve Blake7374-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.414-81215.813.12.6816.613.43.19
Rudy Fernandez3231-0.44-0.06-0.380.12-1915-3416.314.61.7114.316.7-2.42
Joel Przybilla6060-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.02-1511-2614.915.8-0.9415.716.3-0.57
Travis Outlaw5352-0.660.16-0.83-0.17-1713-3016.014.21.8215.216.8-1.57

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace77770.420.080.340.3913-215.915.80.1114.817.5-2.75
Von Wafer39390.370.130.230.109-51415.815.9-0.1016.714.22.50
Luis Scola72720.320.180.150.35-15-615.916.0-0.0614.517.9-3.41
Kyle Lowry29280.270.230.040.067-31015.716.0-0.2617.414.33.16
Charles Hayes40370.260.240.020.1440414.417.0-2.6416.114.61.47
Shane Battier75720.250.25-0.010.39-59-1416.314.32.0215.115.8-0.73
Aaron Brooks64640.230.27-0.040.32-37-1016.015.70.2614.317.4-3.16
Brent Barry13140.230.27-0.05-0.0710-61613.216.3-3.1117.014.92.09
Yao Ming56570.160.34-0.190.22-26-817.114.13.0315.015.6-0.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 112, OKC 1180.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.91,0.91,195.4%
LAC 92, IND 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
NYK 82, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.3%