NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	128		Excitement	4.1 [1004]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +27.3%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	1.6 [467]		LVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): -5.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.22	0.01	-0.04	15	82%	0.28	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	18	71%	0.22	5	-0.08	9	56%	-0.03
Glen Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.05	8	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	17	59%	0.04	5	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Henry Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.00	0.08	12	72%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	61%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	20	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	7	38%	-0.02	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.7	2.8	38.1	19.5	27.4	3.7	35.2	162.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.1%

BOS +9.8%

BOS +12.8%

PHX -1.7%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.6	12.2	15.5	128.0	108.0	106.4
season	15.8	14.1		108.3	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.7	16.9	17.2	20.4	16.6
PHX	12.1	12.4	14.1	10.4	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	80	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	4	12	16.0	18.9	-2.97	12.3	11.8	0.53
Ray Allen	83	82	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.09	21	-1	22	17.1	13.8	3.38	12.0	13.2	-1.21
Paul Pierce	92	92	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.11	20	0	20	16.6	16.6	-0.06	12.3	11.7	0.52
Glen Davis	48	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.16	20	0	20	18.2	15.1	3.11	11.9	12.5	-0.61
Brian Scalabrine	80	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	8	4	16.0	18.7	-2.72	12.3	12.0	0.35
Leon Powe	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	13	-6	16.4	16.6	-0.20	13.4	11.8	1.62
Eddie House	31	32	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.15	8	12	-4	16.6	16.6	0.06	12.0	12.3	-0.29
Kendrick Perkins	39	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	19	-18	15.6	17.2	-1.52	11.9	12.5	-0.64
J.R. Giddens	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	18.7	16.5	2.16	9.3	12.3	-2.99
Henry Walker	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	21	-22	15.0	16.6	-1.64	12.2	12.2	-0.03
Gabe Pruitt	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	24	-28	17.1	16.5	0.59	13.4	12.1	1.30

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	9.7	12.3	-2.58	17.2	16.5	0.71
Alando Tucker	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	9.7	12.3	-2.58	17.2	16.5	0.71
Courtney Sims	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	9.7	12.3	-2.58	17.2	16.5	0.71
Lou Amundson	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-20	20	14.1	11.6	2.49	16.1	16.7	-0.59
Goran Dragic	26	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-14	8	12.8	12.0	0.73	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Jared Dudley	44	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-13	6	12.6	11.9	0.69	17.2	16.1	1.07
Grant Hill	62	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-14	8	12.2	12.3	-0.10	16.4	16.8	-0.38
Matt Barnes	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-9	-2	12.5	12.0	0.49	17.9	15.2	2.76
Steve Nash	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-6	-8	12.2	12.2	0.03	17.0	15.5	1.48
Shaquille O'Neal	58	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-4	-12	12.2	12.3	-0.18	15.6	18.0	-2.38
Leandro Barbosa	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	-5	-10	12.1	12.8	-0.70	16.2	18.0	-1.83
Jason Richardson	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.17	-22	2	-24	11.7	13.8	-2.13	16.5	16.7	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 107, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIA 111, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
NJN 94, DEN 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%