NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	8.7 [149]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +55.5%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	2.0 [942]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -22.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.45	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.45	0.14	0.33	0.02	23	58%	0.45	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Stephen Graham	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	9	78%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	55%	0.12	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	13	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	11	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22	-0.09	-0.15	-0.02	10	36%	0.10	3	-0.32	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.56	0.56	0.04	0.52	0.01	15	64%	0.77	5	-0.22	12	83%	0.07
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.18	0.18	-0.00	14	76%	0.39	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	3	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	49%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.07
Sean Marks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.4	34.2	15.6	25.3	2.4	39.6	147.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +29.6%

NOH +16.2%

IND -7.5%

NOH +6.5%

NOH +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOH	NBA	IND	NOH	NBA
this game	14.2	16.8	15.5	107.5	110.8	106.4
season	14.1	16.6		106.5	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	13.3	16.4	12.6	14.2
NOH	18.0	16.7	15.7	16.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	37	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-11	19	14.6	13.9	0.64	17.5	16.3	1.25
Marquis Daniels	4	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-2	1	17.5	14.0	3.47	16.5	16.8	-0.30
Travis Diener	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-5	7	13.7	14.3	-0.62	15.1	17.1	-1.93
Mike Dunleavy	57	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.35	9	-12	21	14.0	14.4	-0.38	16.9	16.6	0.23
Rasho Nesterovic	21	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	3	-9	14.0	14.2	-0.17	17.1	16.7	0.40
Danny Granger	85	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-2	1	14.0	16.6	-2.67	16.6	18.7	-2.08
Troy Murphy	68	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-2	1	14.3	13.8	0.52	16.7	16.9	-0.19
T.J. Ford	41	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	8	-19	14.2	14.2	-0.02	17.6	16.1	1.49
Jarrett Jack	81	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-2	1	14.1	14.7	-0.56	16.5	18.4	-1.93
Stephen Graham	56	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	10	-23	14.3	14.0	0.35	16.7	17.0	-0.31

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-5	13	17.0	16.2	0.75	14.1	14.3	-0.23
Rasual Butler	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.40	3	0	3	16.6	17.4	-0.83	13.9	15.0	-1.07
Chris Paul	75	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.49	0	3	-3	16.5	18.1	-1.58	14.5	12.8	1.74
Peja Stojakovic	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	3	-3	17.1	15.2	1.90	13.6	17.2	-3.63
Julian Wright	9	9	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	4	-5	12.3	17.3	-4.93	14.4	14.2	0.29
Hilton Armstrong	25	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	-3	9	17.2	16.6	0.51	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Morris Peterson	8	7	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	-2	7	14.7	17.0	-2.23	15.0	14.1	0.88
Antonio Daniels	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	0	3	17.5	16.4	1.14	14.3	14.1	0.25
Devin Brown	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	2	-1	18.1	16.6	1.47	14.7	14.1	0.54
Sean Marks	33	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	8	-13	16.4	17.0	-0.56	13.9	14.3	-0.38
Tyson Chandler	28	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	4	-5	17.0	16.7	0.26	14.6	14.0	0.67
Melvin Ely	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	7	-11	17.3	16.6	0.71	15.3	13.7	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 84, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.69,0.84,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.67,0.74,1	93.0%
PHI 90, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.84,1,1	92.9%
IND 101, TOR 110	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.92,1	92.8%