NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	77		Excitement	6.8 [459]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +24.1%
Washington Wizards	80		Comeback	1.5 [241]		LVP	Mike James (WAS): -26.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.2,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	22	58%	0.32	7	-0.30	8	62%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mo Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	13	43%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Delonte West	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	8	33%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.17	0.00	19	58%	0.30	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	9	44%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	17	47%	0.02	6	-0.17	6	67%	-0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,-0.08,-0.26	-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	9	25%	-0.05	2	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	29.2	15.8	25.1	2.4	41.3	140.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +28.4%

CLE -8.8%

WAS +43.1%

CLE -15.8%

WAS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.5	86.5	93.0	106.4
season	16.9	15.9		110.6	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		111.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	17.6	17.0	14.4	15.8
WAS	16.7	17.5	17.3	17.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	0	-3	15.8	15.8	-0.02	21.1	16.5	4.62
Mo Williams	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-11	19	16.1	15.2	0.93	18.0	14.4	3.62
Ben Wallace	46	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	8	-19	16.6	15.0	1.56	16.3	17.9	-1.60
JJ Hickson	33	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	0	-3	16.3	15.6	0.75	18.2	16.5	1.70
Wally Szczerbiak	22	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	2	-7	18.4	15.0	3.36	15.5	17.6	-2.03
Anderson Varejao	73	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-7	11	15.8	15.7	0.10	17.5	15.3	2.23
LeBron James	77	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-3	3	15.2	19.6	-4.34	16.6	20.4	-3.85
Daniel Gibson	50	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-3	3	15.1	16.7	-1.58	16.8	17.5	-0.72
Delonte West	69	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	2	-7	15.2	18.0	-2.86	16.4	19.5	-3.12

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	58	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-8	19	16.7	17.9	-1.12	16.1	15.4	0.73
Antawn Jamison	69	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.36	3	0	3	16.8	18.4	-1.56	15.3	18.4	-3.09
Mike James	65	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-1	5	16.2	20.0	-3.89	15.5	16.8	-1.22
Nick Young	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	3	-3	17.1	17.1	0.04	15.8	15.8	0.02
Caron Butler	71	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.35	-2	5	-7	17.1	17.1	0.05	15.4	17.9	-2.49
Andray Blatche	38	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-6	15	18.1	16.4	1.70	15.9	15.8	0.12
Darius Songaila	34	36	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.27	-5	8	-13	17.8	16.7	1.14	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Javaris Crittenton	21	21	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	4	-5	20.0	16.2	3.89	16.8	15.5	1.22
Etan Thomas	24	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	7	-11	16.3	17.4	-1.07	18.2	15.0	3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.4%
VAN 112, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.86,0.97,0.76,0.58,1	92.4%
CHI 92, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.3%