NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	11.6 [25]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +60.7%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	18.1 [29]		LVP	Devin Harris (NJN): -57.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	18	54%	0.15	1	-0.09	5	80%	-0.05
Ronald Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	9	53%	0.23	3	-0.20	1	0%	-0.12
Maurice Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.21,-0.21,0	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	18	49%	0.23	5	-0.23	5	40%	-0.07
Marvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.06	-0.03	9	43%	0.04	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	3	40%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	0%	-0.09
Joe Johnson	-0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.05	-0.24	-0.01	16	38%	-0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.61	0.61	-0.03	0.64	0.00	18	47%	0.68	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.04	0.26	-0.01	8	56%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	7	86%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	10	33%	-0.15	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.37,-0.37,-0.57	-0.57	-0.10	-0.44	0.02	22	51%	-0.13	8	-0.44	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.6	15.8	25.4	2.4	31.5	2.4	16.3	149.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +40.5%

ATL -2.8%

NJN +29.0%

ATL -8.9%

ATL -7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.4	15.5	91.9	93.9	106.4
season	15.8	16.0		106.7	106.5
opponent	15.5	16.1		108.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	15.1	15.9	17.0	16.4	12.9	15.7
NJN	18.3	14.7	15.8	17.1	15.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	42	41	0.54	-1.04	1.58	-0.05	20	-22	42	15.8	15.7	0.06	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Mario West	1	1	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.03	3	-5	8	2.0	15.9	-13.87	0.0	16.6	-16.56
Ronald Murray	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.22	8	-10	18	15.0	15.8	-0.85	15.5	16.5	-1.04
Maurice Evans	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-5	8	15.0	16.0	-1.01	17.4	16.0	1.34
Joe Johnson	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	2	-6	15.7	15.7	0.03	17.0	13.8	3.20
Josh Smith	91	90	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	2	-6	16.3	9.0	7.32	16.4	16.8	-0.42
Marvin Williams	87	88	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	4	-10	15.7	16.2	-0.50	16.2	17.6	-1.40
Mike Bibby	90	91	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	10	-22	15.7	16.0	-0.30	16.1	19.6	-3.52
Al Horford	62	63	-0.97	0.47	-1.45	-0.42	-19	17	-36	15.2	16.6	-1.34	16.2	16.7	-0.56

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	83	83	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.52	11	-9	20	15.6	20.7	-5.12	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Keyon Dooling	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.59	-6	8	-14	16.5	16.1	0.40	15.2	16.6	-1.35
Jarvis Hayes	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.56	-5	7	-12	15.9	17.1	-1.20	15.1	16.6	-1.55
Brook Lopez	73	72	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	3	-4	15.8	18.0	-2.18	15.3	16.9	-1.55
Ryan Anderson	20	18	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	-5	12	17.0	16.2	0.82	15.2	15.9	-0.69
Josh Boone	26	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	-1	4	18.0	15.8	2.18	16.9	15.3	1.55
Vince Carter	78	78	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	5	-8	16.9	14.3	2.62	15.7	16.0	-0.29
Yi Jianlian	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.19	9	-7	16	17.9	15.3	2.53	16.9	14.9	2.01
Eduardo Najera	5	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.05	-6	8	-14	18.6	16.3	2.32	21.2	15.4	5.79
Bobby Simmons	48	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.20	1	1	0	15.6	17.2	-1.61	15.9	15.6	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.34,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.86,0.73,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.23,0.41,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.74,1	88.5%
LAC 96, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	88.0%
MIN 90, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.93,1	87.5%