NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	7.9 [248]		MVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): +24.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	89		Comeback	1.5 [544]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -29.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.25	-0.03	0.26	-0.02	15	54%	0.34	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.10
Quentin Richardson	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	7	73%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	17	44%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	0.03	-0.15	0.01	12	58%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.25	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	11	25%	-0.12	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.15	0.02	12	71%	0.32	6	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.03	15	58%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	11	48%	0.04	4	-0.07	5	60%	-0.04
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sean Singletary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.29	-0.29	-0.09	-0.21	-0.01	17	33%	-0.26	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	28.4	16.3	24.6	1.5	37.5	136.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA -19.0%

NYK +34.2%

NYK +27.1%

NYK +5.1%

NYK +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	15.5	93.9	89.9	106.4
season	13.8	16.5		106.2	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		104.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.9	11.8	14.6	15.5	13.6
CHA	14.8	14.9	14.2	18.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	84	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-4	12	13.6	13.4	0.23	15.6	14.8	0.88
Wilson Chandler	74	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-3	10	12.4	17.2	-4.82	15.6	15.2	0.38
David Lee	81	79	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	-5	14	14.0	11.8	2.22	15.8	14.2	1.62
Jared Jeffries	62	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	0	4	13.3	14.1	-0.86	16.3	14.3	1.92
Nate Robinson	59	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	8	-12	13.5	13.7	-0.13	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Tim Thomas	20	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	0	4	14.1	13.5	0.69	13.3	16.1	-2.86
Quentin Richardson	55	57	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	5	-6	13.2	14.1	-0.93	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Al Harrington	60	61	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.19	-7	11	-18	15.1	11.3	3.78	15.4	15.7	-0.26

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-5	6	13.1	16.0	-2.87	13.2	13.7	-0.41
Adam Morrison	27	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-8	12	16.0	15.3	0.75	10.4	14.9	-4.55
Matt Carroll	31	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	3	-10	15.3	15.6	-0.34	12.7	14.0	-1.24
D.J. Augustin	69	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.51	10	-14	24	15.7	15.1	0.52	13.8	13.0	0.78
Sean Singletary	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	15.2	15.6	-0.44	12.9	13.9	-0.96
Raymond Felton	84	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	15.3	16.5	-1.15	14.0	11.7	2.28
Emeka Okafor	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	15.7	14.7	0.98	14.2	11.8	2.38
Gerald Wallace	83	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	2	-8	15.7	14.4	1.34	14.0	11.5	2.50
Boris Diaw	77	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	7	-18	15.6	15.0	0.64	13.9	12.6	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.37,0	91.6%
SAS 104, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.57,0	90.6%
SEA 107, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.54,0.17,0.08,0	90.5%